The first power unit of the Bushehr nuclear reactor is 90% complete. In a curious coincidence, the Jerusalem Post reports that Israel's rehearsals for an attack on the reactor are also about 90% complete.
We've dealt with Iran's quest for nuclear weapons here before, including an in-depth explanation of why it's so dangerous to Iranians, and the stakes for the globe as a whole.
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What a mess.
The Iranian population is heavily concentrated in a relatively small number of cities. In fact, nearly half of the population lives in the environs of a half-dozen of so cities.
The mullahs are dancing on the brink of a precipice.
The trick here is, if the Israelis go in, they need to get it ALL. Do they really have the intel to do it right? If they don't, all you residents of Tel Aviv better have good fire and radiation insurance.
A Really Thorough strike would probably kill >10k people. The Zionists certainly won't give a damn, and it's certainly better than 200k deaths from a Tel Aviv nuke hit. What will a substantial body count do to the Iranian political system? Is the Iranian judiciary decapitated in the strike? Will the general population conclude that the mad mullahs were right all along?
Hitting the nuke infrastructure without causing Regime Change™ leads to the probability of eventual retaliation with easy-to-develop biological weapons.
Land occupation of Iran might eventually be necessary to get all the nukage. This will be Not Fun. The USG could pacify Iran, but this would likely require Taking The Gloves Off. Iranian deaths on the order of 1M are not implausible.
If the USG planners have any brains whatsoever (which is unlikely) they're BUSTING ASS to get decentralized accountability in Iraq going. Fun with Iran is going to require a rested and mobile force not tied down in "peacekeeping" duties in Iraq.