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Nathan's Central Asia "-Stans" Summary: 2004-11-09

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Winds of Change.NET Regional Briefings run on Tuesdays & Wednesdays, and sometimes Fridays too. This Regional Briefing focuses on Central Asia & the Caucasus, courtesy of Nathan Hamm of The Argus. Nathan served in Peace Corps Uzbekistan from 2000-2001.

TOP TOPIC

  • A new government decree in Uzbekistan requires that all merchants must obtain new government licenses, open bank accounts, use cash registers, and sell their goods themselves. The new law would effectively eliminate much of the bazaar trading that is the lifeblood of Uzbek commerce and essential for most families to make ends meet. In response, a crowd of 10,000 rioted in Kokand, a city in the Ferghana Valley. Protesters raided a warehouse, set fire to police cars, and surrounded the mayor's office. A smaller protest outside Ferghana city took place as women blocked a road and threatened to set themselves on fire (a very common form of suicide in Central Asia) unless officials reopened markets.

Other Topics Include: More on Uzbekistan Riots; Bush & Central Asia; Corruption High in the Region; India Follows China's Lead; The Emptying of Tashkent; Terrorism Warning in Uzbekistan; Monitoring the Carolina Vote With Kazakhs; Saakashvili's Honeymoon Over in Georgia; Armenia Pushes Back Iraq Deployment; Georgia Boosts Iraq Commitment and Receives Renewed US Military Assistance; Iran Tells Afghans to Go Home; Afghanistan's Oldest Voter; Red Sox Nation's Imperial Overstretch

AFGHANISTAN

  • Iran has informed Afghan refugees that it is time to go home and is "encouraging" them to do so by withdrawing social services.
  • An Arabic-language soap opera set in Taliban-era Afghanistan has been pulled from the air after Islamic militants threatened to attack anyone attached to the show if Taliban rulers were slandered in any way.

TURKESTAN REGION

  • Officials have temporarily retreated from implementing the law that caused the riots but vow to press forward, causing tensions to remain high. While most analysts focus on Islamic fundamentalists as the primary source of Central Asian instability, I would put the smart money on merchants being a much more likely candidate for toppling Central Asian governments--particularly Uzbekistan's.
  • Moreso than China, India is a quiet partner of many Central Asian governments. Asia Times Online argues that India is following China's lead in its Central Asia relations.
  • Many Uzbeks flock to Tashkent seeking work. However, the country still uses the Soviet propiska system that requires official residence cards to remain in a location. The mayor of Tashkent has ordered that unofficial residents be fired from their jobs and expelled from the city. The official explanation is that they pose a security threat. About 3,700 people have been expelled to date, including a number of skilled professionals.
  • Former UK ambassador to Uzbekistan, Craig Murray, who caused controversy with his public criticism of Tashkent and his quite eccentric behavior, says that he had to speak out because he is near death. He is blaming the Foreign Office for stress that led him to become ill and is planning to take down as many officials with him as possible. The story doesn't quite add up though.
  • Seeking a major supplier of oil outside of the Middle East, China has aggressively strengthened relations with Kazakhstan. The centerpiece of the new cooperation is Atasu-Alashankou oil pipeline, which may soon be joined with a gas pipeline. As a bonus to Kazakhstan, it receives a card to play against both Russia and the United States in the future, just going to show that if anyone is winning a renewed Great Game, it is the Central Asians themselves.
  • The Weekly Standard sent Matt Labash on the road with Kazakhs monitoring the US presidential election under the auspices of the OSCE. As one might expect, hilarity ensues, and the biggest disruption encountered are the Kazakhs themselves as they videotape voters standing in line outside of a polling station.
  • The United States has quietly granted asylum to the Uzbek journalist and human-rights activist, Ruslan Sharipov, who was was tortured and imprisoned for homosexuality and criticizing the government. Not only Ruslan, but his entire family, are now living in Sacramento.
  • Turkmenistan is the land where presidential whims carry the force of law. President Niyazov's latest gripe is over bad service on the national airlines. I can guarantee that Turkmenistan's national airline will have the world's best service very soon.
  • Both Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan celebrated their 80th anniversaries as distinct political bodies in their (more or less) present forms. In Turkmenistan, the day was, of course, celebrated with a parade in the president's honor. In Uzbekistan, the day was, of course, entirely ignored because of its connection to the Soviet past.

CAUCASUS REGION

  • As Georgia's Rose Revolution approaches its first anniversary, some key backers are withdrawing support from President Saakashvili over his heavy-handed tactics. Critics charge that Saakashvili will brook no opposition and ask whether ends justify means.

LIGHTER FARE

The next Central Asia Briefing will appear next month. In the meantime, keep up with Central Asian news at The Argus.

2 TrackBacks

Tracked: November 9, 2004 7:26 AM
'stans summary from riting on the wall
Excerpt: i really wish i had more time to pour something substantive in up here, but it seems i'm either working or too tired to do much. except, of course, link to things. by the by, nathan's stan summary is up. if you haven't been following the area, umm, alo...
Tracked: November 10, 2004 5:32 PM
Winds of Change roundups from SiberianLight
Excerpt: Joel Gaines and Nathan Hamm over at WindsofChange.net have just posted their regular monthly roundups of news and views from Russia and Central Asia. Go read.

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