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December 22, 2004New Energy Currents: 2004-12-22by John Atkinson at December 22, 2004 5:45 AM
While oil prices may be settling down, international efforts to transform our energy systems are just gearing up. In addition to the industrialized world's efforts to clean up its own massive energy systems, the non-industrialized world's need for new energy sources is growing steadily - in China's case, so explosively that it will have a dramatic and lasting affect on the global environment and international politics. Fortunately, there's a lot of hard work being done by scientists, engineers, and (sometimes) policymakers around the world as we slowly transform our energy systems. To help you keep track of these developments as they happen, 'New Energy Currents' is a broad but by no means comprehensive compilation of noteworthy news in energy technology and policy from the past month. Brought to you by John Atkinson of chiasm, who will shamelessly note right up here that his band is leaving the NYC to tour major cities all up and down the US west coast next week - check the dates and catch some of my personal 'new energy', y'heard?
As always, leave any tips in the comments, or e-mail me at newenergy@windsofchange.net. Also please have an AMAZING holiday season/New Year! Stay alive in 05! See you then. Tracked: December 22, 2004 1:58 AM
Energy Nous from Crumb Trail
Excerpt: A new installment of New Energy Currents by John Atkinson of chiasm is up at WoC. While oil prices may be settling down, international efforts to transform our energy systems are just gearing up. In addition to the industrialized world's efforts to cl...
Tracked: December 22, 2004 2:43 AM
Marring Tranquility from Crumb Trail
Excerpt: An interesting item in the New Energy Currents report notes the large amounts of helium-3 on the moon and its potential use for nuclear fusion. "When compared to the earth the moon has a tremendous amount of helium 3" ... "When helium 3 combines with ...
Tracked: December 23, 2004 4:43 AM
The coal, hard facts from Why are all the good names gone...?
Excerpt: he development of a means of power generation that is environmentally sound...AND cost-effective must take greater priority over token emission reductions right now. Winds of Change.Net has an excellent article discussing international efforts to dev...
Comments
Good luck with the band!
(by Prism) Mistake? "gold, platinum, silver, iridium, rhodium, and platinum" Don't mean to nitpick. Great work as usual.
#3 from C. Greenlaw at 7:09 am on Dec 22, 2004
re: a nuclear fuel reprocessing method being considered for use in Japan-- "The process is already used in Europe and Russia, but concerned environmentalists have slowed its deployment elsewhere." I wonder how much these "concerned" environmentalists resemble the selectively critical Left in Joe Katzman's article, "Leftism and Morality", a little further down in W. of C. Quite a bit I think. For them it seems more about the politics than about the environment. Even that doesn't describe it fully, because for so many of us politics is somthing meant to achieve real world results, while they seem more interested in a dualistic conflict and nothing more.
#5 from davod at 10:54 am on Dec 22, 2004
Energy independance can be achieved by taking the unpopular but important step of increased exploration in the USA. We should use all the resources available in the US. Including oil, gas, coal etc. The technology is available to limit the pollution caused by these natural resources. We really have no idea what the real reserves are of these resources in energy output terms. Every time depletion is predicted we change our habits or access to the available resource is expanded.
#6 from Richard Heddleson at 3:10 pm on Dec 22, 2004
Energy independance can be achieved by taking the unpopular but important step of increased exploration in the USA. While ANWR should be exploited it will make little difference in the total energy picture. I am aware of no other significant deposits not being exploited for political reasons. If we really wanted to change the situation, we would take advantage of the recent spike in oil prices to initiate a revenue neutral, inflation adjusted, annually incremented tax on petroleum and petroleum derivatives. This would give users the assurance that prices would increase in a more predictable manner and keep more of the seigneurage in the the US instead of the mideast. It would make more of these new technologies cost effective and encourage business investment with the assurance that high prices would not disappear. It would encourage end user conservation. Instead, we continue to fund al-Qaeda. Insane. This is clearly the way to go. I have solar panels on my house in New Jersey producing 2/3 of my electric usage (on a net annual basis). Right now, the incentives in NJ for installation of solar are phenominal - paying for 70% of the costs. My solar installation website is available at the URL on this comment (click my name above) - hit the "Major Event Entries" link on the left for a index page to lots of detail and pictures. (and thanks for letting the shameless plug slide!) "Instead, we continue to fund al-Qaeda." This stupid canard drives me nuts. If the US is "funding al Qaeda" then so is the entire world. Even if the US became totally oil-independent overnight, other countries like China and India would soak up the surplus and the Saudis would still get their money. I agree that Richard was doing great right up until that last line. The Saudis (among others in the mideast) fund al-Qaeda, not America. That's their choice, and they will continue to do so without interruption even if America stops using oil tomorrow. It's possible to say that if America stopped using oil (not possible even in the medium term), the reduction in worldwide demand would lower the price slightly vs. what it would otherwise be, and so the oil ticks would have slightly less money than they otherwise would. Whether this would even slow their donations to al-Qaeda down is an open question, given that the donors all have large investment portolios too. By Richard's same logic, one could argue for a global depression because stock market appreciation also "funds al-Qaeda"! Which Richard is not arguing, but it does illustrate the speciousness of the underlying reasoning. There are many good strategic arguments for greater oil-independence. Alas, "funding al-Qaeda" isn't one of them.
#10 from UCS-USA fan at 6:46 pm on Dec 22, 2004
"Energy independance can be achieved by taking the unpopular but important step of increased exploration in the USA." "We really have no idea what the real reserves are of these resources in energy output terms." Care to reconcile these contradictory statements? How can you assert that US oil/gas reserves (those we haven't already used up) can make us independent, and then say we don't know how much is there? On another post: "This stupid canard drives me nuts. If the US is "funding al Qaeda" then so is the entire world." This is true. Oil funds terrorism. Denial won't change this fact. And until we get off oil, the world will continue to fund al Qaeda. If you want to be a world leader, this is where we need to lead the world. Mark - cool site, a shamelessly relevant plug, thanks for the link! NJ represent! best surayasha - corrected, thanks. it's no nitpick, don't EVER apologize for being right!! best
#13 from Richard Heddleson at 2:40 am on Dec 23, 2004
I agre with Mr. McIntosh, the entire world is funding al Qaeda. We do not directly fund al-Qaeda. But by continuing our dependence on petroleum with virtually no work on alternatives we maintain a situation in which someone puts lots of money in Wahabbi pockets that finds its way to al Qaeda accounts. If we were to raise the cost of petroleum products through domestic taxes, we would have two effects. First there would be some slight decrease in demand. Given the growing demand in emerging economies, this would have minimal impact. Second, permanently higher prices would stimulate the development of appropriate alternative technologies that would ultimately reduce demand for oil. This would be especially true once we withdrew the U. S. Navy from the Gulf of (Arabia or Persia, take your pick). Why are we interested in Iraq and not Darfur or Zimbabwe? Richard asks: "Why are we interested in Iraq and not Darfur or Zimbabwe?" [1] Because Iraq is Islamic, just like our problem. [2] Because Iraq was seen as a potential threat in a way that Sudan and Zimbabwe were not.
#15 from Richard Heddleson at 1:21 am on Dec 24, 2004
Our problem is not Islamic. The problem in Darfur is more Islamic than the problem in Iraq. It is the Wahabbi cancer that is metastasizing on Islam. And who pays for the madrassas and imams who teach hate? The Saudis with oil dollars that come from the developed world. Cut that funding off or cut the cancer out. We don't have the will to cut out the cancer, so let's cut out the funding.
#16 from treetoad at 1:43 am on Dec 24, 2004
Richard is right on. Without the oil money those Wahhabi fanatics would be sitting on a pile of sand in the middle of nowhere rather than fueling terror all over the world.
#17 from Akhmed at 9:01 pm on Dec 24, 2004
Without oil wealth proceeds, alqaida would be robbing banks like the IRA. But that's no reason not to encourage alternative energy and energy conservation. Both are needed. Increased exploration for fossil fuels is also needed. So are safer ways of getting nuclear energy from fissionables. I like the Stirling Engine idea. Better late than never.
#18 from Scott Kitterman at 4:49 am on Dec 25, 2004
Terrestrial solar power is just to unreliable to ever be a major source of power, but if you move it into space, most of the negatives disappear. Most of the engineering hurdles have been long solved. See the Space Studies Institute for details: http://www.ssi.org/ The major hurdle is lower the cost per pound to orbit. Perhaps now that governments no longer have a complete monopoly on space access, real progress will be made. The ladder mill claims that it could lower the price of wind energy until it was competitive with coal and nukes. The deal is increasing the size of turbines deployed from the current 1.5 MW to the 3 and 5 MW jobs just starting series production will do that without any new learning curve. == What is most lacking is not science. It is cost concious engineering. Adm. Rickover estimated that if the scientist had maintained control of nuclear power in 1947 that the Navy would not have had a nuclear sub until 1960 or '65. The Admiral actually delivered in 1955. == The problem is not lack of energy. Typically capital requirements for an energy plant is about $1 per watt. The Euro idea of spending $50 M Euros for 10 MW of solar is a demonstration only possible with experimental funds from corporations or government money. It is interesting. We will learn. It is not cost effective. #18, There are energy storage methods on the horizon (which I am not at liberty to discuss) that will drastically lower the cost of off peak and intermittent source electrical storage. The problem with solar in the main is not intermittancy (read unreliability). It is cost.
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