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Winds of Change.NET: Iraq Report: Jan 03/05
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January 3, 2005

Iraq Report: Jan 03/05

by Andrew Olmsted at January 3, 2005 2:32 PM

Welcome! Our goal at Winds of Change.NET is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from Iraq that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Thursday. This briefing is brought to you by Joel Gaines of No Pundit Intended and Andrew Olmsted of Andrew Olmsted dot com.

TOP TOPICS

  • Two car bombs in Baghdad killed seven Iraqis and left another 39 wounded. One car bomb struck near Prime Minister Allawi's party headquarters while the other exploded after trying to run a police checkpoint. While this marks yet more violence facing Iraq as it attempts to hold elections, it's important to note that the attacks failed to actually strike either of their targets.
  • Ethnic strife is one of the biggest threats reconstruction efforts in Iraq face, and Iraq'd notes a disturbing example of Arab-Kurd violence that could further degrade any hopes of returning security to Iraq.
  • Don't miss the latest Carnival of the Liberated, this week's including Christmas greetings, a report from Mosul, winter crises, and more.

Other Topics Today Include: continued fighting in Mosul; al-Zarqawi aide captured; Iraq's National Guard merges with the Iraqi army; increasing oil production; planning to fail in Iraq; new torture memo released; more on HMMWV armor.

REPORTS FROM THE FIELD

RECONSTRUCTION & THE ECONOMY

  • Iraq's banking industry is evolving with the help of freedom, competition, foreign investers, and moving away from government institutionalized banking practices. Private banks will surge as the money for restructuring pours in.

IRAQI POLITICS

THE INTERNATIONAL STAGE

ETCETERA

  • Failure to plan equals planning to fail. It appears that we did just that with Iraq, never producing a plan for what to do once the shooting stopped, with repercussions that echo in the fighting that continues in Iraq today.
  • Another mass grave has been found in Suleimaniyah, bringing the total number to 259 found thus far. This one contains an estimated 60 bodies believed to be Kurds killed in 1991.
  • The 3rd Brigade of the Army's 1st Cavalry Division got a show by punk perennials The Vandals during a modest Friday night party in the Green Zone. While soldiers bounced and bobbed their heads, The Vandals reeled off favorites like "Oi to the World" and "Anarchy Burger (Hold the Government)." The Vandals acknowledged they do not have the drawing power of other visitors, but they said they were pleased with the military crowds. "You rock out to the band you have, not the band you wish you had," guitarist Warren Fitzgerald said. Donald Rumsfeld couldn't have put it any better.
  • The troops are still there. So is the Winds of Change.NET consolidated directory of ways you can support the troops: American, Australian, British, Canadian & Polish. Anyone out there with more information, contact us!

Thanks for reading! If you found something here you want to blog about yourself (and we hope you do), all we ask is that you do as we do and offer a Hat Tip hyperlink to today's "Winds of War". If you think we missed something important, use the Comments section to let us know. And if you have a tip for a future Iraq Report, email us at MondayIraqReport(at)windsofchange.net.


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Listed below are links to weblogs that reference
"Iraq Report: Jan 03/05"
Tracked: January 3, 2005 8:29 PM
Iraq News Summaries from Stryker Brigade News
Excerpt: Two in depth summaries worth exploring: Iraq Report: Jan 03/05 - From Winds of Change Good news from Iraq, Part 18 - From Arthur Chrenkoff...
Tracked: January 3, 2005 11:50 PM
Carnival Of The Liberated from Mind of Mog
Excerpt: Ooo, this I like, a Carnival of the Liberated a roundup of posts from Iraqi bloggers. I can't keep track of all the carnivals but this is one I will be following. Hattip Winds of Change which has a lot of information about Iraq too. Much to read. De...

Comments
#1 from Mark Buehner at 5:54 pm on Jan 03, 2005

"Failure to plan equals planning to fail. It appears that we did just that with Iraq, never producing a plan for what to do once the shooting stopped, with repercussions that echo in the fighting that continues in Iraq today."

Doubtlessly true, but the much bigger problem has been the lack of flexibility to catch up. Ultimately a lack of leadership from the top. We would be completely screwed if our military wasnt doing such a magnificent job.

Top 5 inexcusable, idiotic screwups:
-Taking Saddam's palaces as US HQs. Stupid doesnt begin to describe this. Meet the new boss...
-Putting infastructure reconstruction in the hands of the lowest bidder. Speaks for itself. Halliburton isnt an evil company, but its certainly not going to have the balls out motivation the situation required. Its been 2 years and we havent got the electricity much better than it started. That is criminal.
-Too few troops. Not to win the war, to keep the peace. When it became obvious we didnt have enough troops to control both the cities and the countryside (much less the borders), alarm bells should have wrung. They still should.
-Paul Bremer. Hire a beaurocrat, get a beaurocracy. Should have been a general.
-No national ID card. How much simpler can you get? We've got a list of every Iraqi citizen (from the food distribution program). We've got computer database experts. We've got billions of dollars. Give every Iraqi an ID and make them carry it. Solves all kinds of problems, helps elections immensely, and keeps foriegners on their toes. Easy.

#2 from T. J. Madison at 8:07 pm on Jan 03, 2005

>>No national ID card. How much simpler can you get? We've got a list of every Iraqi citizen (from the food distribution program). We've got computer database experts. We've got billions of dollars. Give every Iraqi an ID and make them carry it. Solves all kinds of problems, helps elections immensely, and keeps foriegners on their toes. Easy.

Yes, let's lay the groundwork for a worse tyranny later! That's a great idea!

"Your papers, please?"

#3 from Mark Buehner at 8:22 pm on Jan 03, 2005

"Yes, let's lay the groundwork for a worse tyranny later! That's a great idea!"

So in your estimation having a national ID is a bigger threat to Iraqi liberty than allowing Al Qaeda the run of the country? Lets burn that bridge when we come to it. The point is there is already a list of every Iraqi citizen in existance, issuing ID cards to them isnt going to alter that. How about we save the country before we go worrying about nebulous crisis little peices of plastic with pictures on them may or may not cause.

#4 from T. J. Madison at 9:01 pm on Jan 03, 2005

>>So in your estimation having a national ID is a bigger threat to Iraqi liberty than allowing Al Qaeda the run of the country?

Goodness yes. "Al Qaeda" is a relatively minor problem in Iraq. Absent the US occupation, it's unlikely that the locals would tolerate these hooligans for any length of time. If the USG was on better terms with the Iraqi population, local militias and clans would likely be disposing of the terrorists for us. Unfortunately the USG is too incompetent and unaccountable to take advantage of this.

>>The point is there is already a list of every Iraqi citizen in existance, issuing ID cards to them isnt going to alter that.

Those lists should probably be burned. When the USG leaves Iraq, those lists will be turned over to the new Iraqi puppet government, likely some variant of Saddam 2.0. Then the fun will really begin.

#5 from Mark Buehner at 9:46 pm on Jan 03, 2005

""Al Qaeda" is a relatively minor problem in Iraq. Absent the US occupation, it's unlikely that the locals would tolerate these hooligans for any length of time. "

AQ is probably too narrow admittedly, but without question the presence of foriegners in Iraq has been a major problem. They have been the ones doing the suicice bombing which have been amongst the most effective tactics. This insurgency is being directed and supplied from Syria, mainly by Sunni Iraqi's who fled. A national ID and database would make it far easier for our people (and the ING) to tell the wheat from the chaff, as well as get an idea of which Sunnis are doing what. If a guys name gets flagged a few times, thats a nice red arrow. As of now we are stumbling around hoping for the best.
Remember, this insurgency started very slowly. There was a critical window after the war when native Iraqis were terrified of the US. It was the foriegn suicide bombers that helped them overcome that fear. We should have been on top of that, and particularly the Sunnis crisscrossing the border.

"If the USG was on better terms with the Iraqi population, local militias and clans would likely be disposing of the terrorists for us. Unfortunately the USG is too incompetent and unaccountable to take advantage of this. "

I wont argue with that. See the rest of my list.

"Those lists should probably be burned. When the USG leaves Iraq, those lists will be turned over to the new Iraqi puppet government, likely some variant of Saddam 2.0. Then the fun will really begin"

Those lists are the only thing that are going to allow us any kind of a reasonable election. Saddam 2.0 wont need citizen lists to tyranize. Our first priority is to prevent that from happening in the first place. And if the US leaves how will the government be a puppet? Most of the criticism i've scene indicates a fear of an anti US government taking power. Regardless, we need to prioritize. Tyrants dont need lists when they have machine guns and the will to use them. Representitive govs do need lists, for simple things like voter rolls and to keep out suicide bombers.

#6 from Screwy Hoolie at 8:31 pm on Jan 04, 2005

You've forgotten to mention the new 200,000+ estimate of insurgent strength, the assassination of the governor of Baghdad, 700 campaign volunteers quitting in Mosul, the ridiculous plans to fly in every piece of necessary election hardware in the ten days before the election... the list goes on and fucking on.

Scrutiny Hooligans has this roundup.

thanks for all you do.

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