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May 21, 2005

New Energy Currents: 05-20-2005

by John Atkinson at May 21, 2005 2:50 AM

[JK: Originally posted May 20th. Moved up to the 21st because it also fits our "Good News Saturdays" theme.]

As the US energy bill is being written in the Senate, the debate over our energy future is in full swing. Hydrogen fuel cells, or "gas optional" hybrids? Nuclear, or not? Coal... or not? As these different technologies begin to compete in earnest for your attention, acceptance, and tax dollars, New Energy Currents does its best to give you a broad overview of developments in energy science, technology, and policy. By John Atkinson, of chiasm.

Bio

  • Jennings, Louisiana will be the home of the first commercial plant to use genetically engineered E. coli bacteria to produce ethanol from biomass such as sugarcane waste. The engineered bacteria produce ethanol from biomass sugars with 90-95% efficiency, and the plant should be operational by the end of 2006.

Electricity

  • Knowledge Problem reports on the results of a recent pilot project testing the impact of time-of-use (TOU) and dynamic pricing among 2,500 residential and small commercial and industrial customers in California. Participants were given several pricing options and were equipped with sophisticated digital meters and programmable thermostats that could be managed remotely over the Internet. The pilot's results suggest a potential 13 percent statewide average reduction in peak-period energy use - not bad for what Prof Kiesling calls only a "first step" towards introducing demand participation in retail electricity markets.
  • Green Car Congress takes a look at the EDrive, a commercial retrofit system that can turn a Prius hybrid into a GO-HEV - Gas Optional Hybrid Electric Vehicle (formerly known as 'Plug-In' hybrids) - capable of running in battery-only (no gas!) mode at neighborhood speeds and getting a cool 100 to 150 mpg for roughly the first 60 miles of the day otherwise.

Fossil Fuels

  • Former oilman Geoff Styles drops an intriguing alternative peak oil scenario - "Could an OPEC policy aimed at increasing prices by restricting access to reserves result in a premature, but nonetheless permanent peak in oil production, either deliberately or inadvertently?"
  • Wired is excited about the excitement surrounding $20 billion worth of investments that have been committed to make Qatar "the GTL [Gas-to-Liquids] capital of the world." GTL plants will transform Qatar's enormous - and largely stranded - natural gas reserves into 300,000 barrels of clean-burning synthetic diesel fuel and other liquid products every day by 2011. (via Crumb Trail)
  • There's been a lot of talk about 'clean coal' technologies that may help meet our energy needs in a carbon-constrained environment - but have you heard of ULTRA clean coal, a purified form of coal that will burn much more cleanly and efficiently, being developed by researchers at the University of Nottingham? Via Crumb Trail, who also notes a good resource for information on other, 'regular' clean coal technologies.
  • Searching For The Truth takes a look at harvesting methane from geopressurized brine, a non-conventional source of natural gas estimated to hold 110 times the world's proven reserves of conventional natural gas. !

Geothermal

  • Geothermal energy has a lot of potential in Uganda - 127 MW of geothermal power are already installed, out of an estimated 450 MW of potential capacity - but not a lot of capital and technical expertise to take advantage of it. ENTER the German ministry of economic cooperation and development.

Hydrogen

  • Using quantum physics theory, scientists have determined that carbon nanotubes "decorated" with titanium or other transition metals can hold 8 percent of their weight in hydrogen. This surpasses by a third the Department of Energy's FreedomCar target of a minimum 6 percent storage capacity for hydrogen storage for an economically feasible hydrogen fuel cell vehicle. (via Green Car Congress)

Nuclear

  • NEI notes a deal between GE and NuStart, a US nuclear industry consortium, under which GE will design and submit for regulatory approval a next-generation ESBWR (Economic Simplified Boiling Water Reactor) for one of two proposed projects to be sited at existing U.S. nuclear power plants. GE calls it a "Generation III+" reactor, designed to be safer, more cost-effective to operate, faster to build, &c. If approved, this reactor could be the first new nuclear plant built in the US since the 1970s.
  • The Engineer-Poet asks 'how could we make nuclear power less risky and more attractive?' Take it underground.
  • The G8 chipped in another $200 million to fund the construction of a permanent sarcophagus around Chernobyl to stop radioactive leaks from the destroyed nuclear reactor. This raises the total in the Chernobyl Shelter Fund to $800 million, short of the $1 billion that will be required, but enough for work to begin - Russia is among the countries expected to step forward to contribute the rest, which is considerate of them. It's a pretty big cleaning bill.
  • After many months of masterful negotiating, Japan has finally conceded: France will host the ITER experimental fusion reactor. As Rob McMillin notes, Japan got quite an excellent compensation package in return. Also worth a look, now that we've finally settled the 'where' question, is this recent post looking at a new article in Europhysics News that asks "What Will We Learn From ITER?"
  • Rob also covers two recent developments in the highly experimental field of sonofusion research, here and here.

Solar

  • The MIT Technology Review takes a look at applications of flexible photovoltaics currently being evaluated by the US military, including clothing and tents embedded with solar cells to power night vision goggles, laptops, communications devices, GPS units, and the rest of the equipment that makes our super-soldiers so super. Pay attention, civvies, you'll probably be charging your cell phone the same way in a few years.
  • Monkeysign continues to track the progress of Nanosolar's much-hyped nanoengineered thin-film PV sells - apparently they have completed the R&D phase and are moving into commercial production, and they have many more patents than previously thought - more on the patents here. We should see the first Nanosolar systems deployed later this year - stay tuned.

Water

  • UK company Ocean Power Delivery has signed a contract to build the world's first commercial wave energy project off the coast of Portugal. The project will begin with a 3-machine, 2.25 MW capacity test installation that, if successful, will be followed by the addition of 30 more machines with 20 MW capacity by the end of 2006.
  • Scotland's Robert Gordan University debuted a new, prefabricated ocean energy device, dubbed the Sea Snail, in Burra Sound. One of the most expensive components of current ocean energy projects is the cost of attaching turbines to the seabed; the SNAIL solves this problem with reversible hydrofoils, greatly reducing the cost of installation as well as increasing the number of suitable sites compared to conventional ocean energy devices. Also,
  • ...and a Norweigan company has developed a new wave energy device called the Seawave Slot Cone Generator (SSG). Details are sketchy on both, but there's certainly a lot of technical innovation going on in this relatively young field.
  • Villagers near Mount Kenya have joined together to form a hydro-power cooperative, the Baraani Hydro-electric Self Help Group, which has bypassed Kenya Power and Lighting to purchase and maintain a turbine producing 10 KW of power for distribution to 36 members of the group from Owinga falls on the Baarani River. The effort has attracted the attention of the UN Development Programme, who has lined up to help fund a second, larger, 75 kW project.

Wind

  • A new assessment of global wind power indicates that "wind, for low-cost wind energy, is more widely available than was previously recognized." The study also indicates that better siting of wind turbines (potentially assisted by this study) could help overcome current problems stemming from local opposition to huge, concentrated arrays of wind turbines.
  • A new case study of the tortuous journey of the Cape Cod Wind Project by University of Delaware researchers reveals that "Deeply Held Values, Plus Misperceptions" are fueling the public debate. Not exactly a revelation, but it's good (or interesting, at least) to know that this major obstacle to further development of wind power is being seriously studied.
  • China is unlikely to run into such problems with local resistance as it prepares to build its first big offshore windfarm, a development of unspecified size off the coast of the southern Chinese island of Nan'ao that will have 100 MW capacity upon completion. (also via Carolyn Elefant)

Policy

  • Green Car Congress reports that the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation has proposed adopting California's greenhouse gas reduction legislation, which is the first and only mandatory emission reduction program in the US. The California regulations, which are currently being challenged by automakers in court, require emission cuts in cars and trucks by as much as 25 percent by 2009, and of 34 percent by 2016.
  • A new World Bank report shows that world trade in CO2 permits during the first three months of 2005 were 3.5 times higher than the whole of last year, and that 2004's dealing volume was five times higher than 2003. Just a reminder that the Kyoto Protocol is, in fact, doing something, though that growth rate is going to have to start going seriously exponential if Kyoto countries are to meet their emissions reduction targets - Marginal Revolution notes new emissions projections from Brussels estimating that European countries in 2010 will exceed their Kyoto targets by 10 (Netherlands) to 77 (Spain) percent.
  • Finally, earlier in the week the Senate Energy Committee revealed a partial draft of the Senate Energy Bill which will be written next week and brought to the floor in late June (hopefully). The draft Senate Bill did not include provisions for drilling in ANWR or for protecting oil firms from MTBE lawsuits, and Sen. Pete Domenici (R-NM) indicated that they will increase the ethanol mandate from 5 billion barrels a year by 2012 to 6-8 billion barrels.

As always, please send any links, tips, questions, and (especially) hottt gossip to newenergy - at - windsofchange.net - see you next month.


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Comments
#1 from ken at 5:04 pm on May 20, 2005

Don't forget Biodiesel on your list. Refined from soy, rapeseed, or canola with lye and methanol, Biodiesel can run modern diesel engines without modification. Methanol can be derived from methane reclaimed from landfills and the vegetable oil can be reclaimed from restaurant fryers. There is potential here, especially with snorty diesel powerplants like the twin turbo BMW 535d.

#2 from Mike at 5:19 pm on May 20, 2005

About nuclear: why not go to pebble-bed reactors? The technology is about 50 years old, the design is paractically fail-safe (if it gets too hot, it shuts down because of the way the reaction works). It's not water-cooled. The radioactive bits are pre-sealed.

#3 from Opinionated Bastard at 7:46 pm on May 20, 2005

Did you ever read "Clean Coal, Dirty Air"?

#4 from M. Simon at 10:16 pm on May 20, 2005

The problem with co-generation is what to do with the heat in the summer.

#5 from Savage at 11:50 pm on May 20, 2005

For another possible technology (which appears to be in actual production right now), see this

While it might not "solve" the total US problem, implementing it world-wide (and it could be attractive world-wide) would hugely reduce the demand for the stuff from the ground.

I'm still not entirely sure whether it will "work" or not (whether it is viable, economically sound, etc.). I figure we'll know for sure when either some "enviro-nuts" start protesting it for some obscure reason (which means it will work), or the company starts begging for guberment "R&D $$$" (which means it won't).

Savage

#6 from TexasGal at 4:37 am on May 21, 2005

I agree with Mike in #2. I think it is real a waste of resources to use oil to generate electricity. Nuclear ala pebble is our best choice. We will never get Americans out of their cars. So our immediate move should be towards moving electric off of oil.

#7 from Joe A at 12:54 pm on May 21, 2005

Mike, the South Africans are building a new unit, I think 100 MWe. I agree with you, it is a very clever design, but I see a drawback: gas cooled reactors are bigger, that is, more expensive, than water cooled reactors.

The answer to energy problems in the developed world is Nuclear Energy indeed. New designs in reactors are coming. Don't forget also very high temperature ones (more than 900ºC) that can produce directly hydrogen from water.

About Biodiesel: Italian government got very angry a few weeks ago when many drivers in the Trieste region, seeing the rise in oil prices, bought rape oil and poured it into their diesel cars. The authority threathened to treat them as tax infractors. Auto makers said that rape oil may shorten the life of injectors and the fuel pump, but it works.

#8 from Engineer-Poet at 2:11 pm on May 21, 2005

Joe A, you should not confuse vegetable oil with biodiesel.  Biodiesel is the methyl or ethyl esters of fatty acids, while vegetable oil is 3 fatty acids attached to a glycerol backbone ("triglyceride").  Biodiesel is produced by "transesterification", the conversion of the glyceryl ester to methyl or ethyl ester.  The glycerol is a byproduct of the process.

TexasGal, the US uses very little oil for electricity; production from oil peaked in 1978 and has never come near that figure again.  For historical data, see http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/txt/ptb0802a.html. There is currently a small rise in oil consumption for generation, mostly due to the high cost of natural gas.

M. Simon (#4):  just don't run the cogenerators in the summer (the Honda-engine CHP unit is only about 21% efficient anyway).  Problem solved.

Savage (#5):  CWT's process may be a good alternative to other waste-disposal methods, but it remains to be seen if there is enough feedstock to supplant (rather than supplement) other fuels.  If the feedstock has positive value (turkey guts are valuable as animal feed), thermal depolymerization has trouble competing with fossil fuel.

ken (#1):  There isn't enough land in the USA to grow enough oilseed crops to meet US demand for diesel fuel, let alone all petroleum products.  Biodiesel is a good thing (especially when produced from waste such as grease-trap sludge), but it's not a one-stop solution.

#9 from Joe A at 3:55 pm on May 21, 2005

Engineer-Poet (#8)

you should not confuse vegetable oil with biodiesel

Touché. Anyways, the stocks of rape oil in Trieste exhausted pretty quickly, with great sadness of Italians.

#10 from TexasGal at 6:18 pm on May 21, 2005

Engineer-Poet

Thanks for the table you provided in #8. I still think the use of oil to generate electricity is a waste of resources when there are so many other ways.

#11 from M. Simon at 7:45 pm on May 21, 2005

E-P,

Summer is when you need the electricity the most.

Wind tends to peak in most places in the winter.

Of course if you need a pool heater and didn't want to use solar the cogenerator might be a good option.

#12 from Joe A at 8:04 pm on May 21, 2005

M Simon, moreover, wind energy is expensive (8.4 cents vs 3 cents nuke in spot market) and difficult to pour into the grid.

Free your mind, the answer is Nuclear, it has always been. There is no energetic problem, he have created it rejecting nuclear power. Sooner or later we'll come back.

#13 from Engineer-Poet at 11:29 pm on May 21, 2005
M. Simon says:
Summer is when you need the electricity the most.
Depends where you are; I seem to recall that Minnesota's demand peaks are in winter.  I found this with a quick search.

That's fine.  Cogeneration can meet winter electric demand and slash (or eliminate) the need for gas-fired electricity during those periods.  Anything that relieves demand on gas supplies will reduce prices and eliminate need for LNG terminals.

Summer demand peaks are from air conditioning.  Electric-driven compression refrigeration is not the only way to run an air conditioner; if users paid the real cost of meeting their peak demands, there would probably be a large market for solar-heated absorption chillers.  Collectors big enough to run a building's A/C would be able to meet the DHW demand almost as an afterthought; that's another load currently satisfied by electricity or natural gas.
Wind tends to peak in most places in the winter.
That's fine too.  It can be used to meet heating demands.
#14 from Engineer-Poet at 11:37 pm on May 21, 2005

TexasGal (#11), if you are looking for waste, you don't have to look far.  When I was in Texas I noticed that every apartment I saw had an electric water heater.  Someone mined lignite to burn in a furnace to make heat to generate steam to drive a turbine to turn a generator to make electricity to run over wires to go to the water heater where it was... turned into heat again, but with about 70% losses.

Meanwhile, sunlight pounded heat down on roofs which were sometimes just an arm's length away.

Most Texans are paying good money for something they could get for free.  How's that for sad?

#15 from TexasGal at 2:13 am on May 22, 2005

Engineer-Poet,

That must have been some trip for you to have visited every apartment in Texas.

Then you will be delighted to hear that during the hottest summer months in Texas we don't need the hot water heaters, we just turn on the cold water tap where the water is heated by the ground.

In most places in Texas where the soil is mostly clay they do have electric heating and cooking, but for the most part I'd venture to say that most heating in Texas is natural gas.

There are places in Texas that use solar energy for heating, but then again it's not unusual for many places in Texas to have no sun for days if not weeks.

#16 from Engineer-Poet at 7:19 am on May 22, 2005

TexasGal:  I only spoke for the ones I saw.  They all happened to be on either the south or south-west of Austin, and I made no claim that they constituted a representative sample.  I do claim that they exemplify something that probably should not be.

I found the hot "cold" water to be almost as irritating as the habit of swimming pools to get to bathwater temperatures.  It is no wonder to me that Barton spring in Austin is such a popular swimming site.

#17 from David Foster at 11:49 pm on May 22, 2005

It feels to me as if we're moving from an era when energy alternatives were pretty cut-and-dried to one in which there will be many contending alternative: coal-to-liquid, coal gasification, biomass, nuclear, wind, et al...and that many of these will coexist until technologies mature and the market sorts it all out.

Seems like something is likely to work out pretty well, in which case it's probably not wise to bet on $100/bbl oil.

#18 from a at 2:14 am on May 23, 2005

The market doesn't sort out. It let's every economical solution survive just like we now have hydro, gas and coal plus those energy sources that life of the state

#19 from Engineer-Poet at 2:56 pm on May 23, 2005

David Foster:  I would bet on $100/bbl oil (light, sweet) before $20/bbl oil.  Just because alternatives to oil are developing does not mean that they will arrive either soon enough or in enough volume to prevent large price spikes.  Big volume requires big money, and the big money is going to wait until it is assured of a good return.

That looks likely to come, because the supply of light sweet crude is probably peaking now and the refinery capacity to use lots of heavy and/or sour crude doesn't exist.

#20 from Alan Kellogg at 10:16 am on May 28, 2005

Engineer-Poet (#8)

The process, thermal-depolymerization, can use much more than turkey guts and the like. Tires and plastic for one. Paper for another. What matters is the carbon content. And one could always produce new feedstock (kudzu plantations anybody? :) ). If the feedstock is contaminated in some many said contamination is segregated out, and the resulting products could even been sold. No more need to segregate aluminum at the curb.

I can see people being paid by oil producers for their garbage and trash. The day may come when we'll be hunting down old municipal dumps for oil mining. While old farmland and ranches are put back into production to produce organic matter to add to the stream.

"The fruit tastes like shit, but the plant as a whole can be processed into one sweet crude." :)

#21 from Engineer-Poet at 1:32 pm on May 29, 2005
I expect that to happen, esp. the reclaiming of landfills for other uses.  Unfortunately it's not going to yield enough fuel to meet current (let alone future) needs for a number of reasons:
  1. Recycling tires, plastic, etc. can only replace the oil used to make them (and not all of that).
  2. The trash we throw out doesn't have enough energy to replace the oil we use.
  3. We're already using a large fraction of the biological productivity of the world, and our petroleum consumption is far greater than we could get by any sustainable harvest from the remainder using higher plants (single-celled algae are another matter).
I fully expect thermal depolymerization to become popular over time, as technical problems are solved and landfill space becomes increasingly expensive.  But it's not a complete solution even to the problem of waste disposal, and most energy needs (for transportation as for everything else) will have to come from elsewhere.
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