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The Syrian End of the Ratline

| 10 Comments | 2 TrackBacks

Syria’s involvement in facilitating the Iraqi insurgency has been apparent for some time. Recent intelligence indicates al Qaeda in Iraq has conducted a meeting within Syrian territory. U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has accused Syria of "allowing its territory to be used to organize terrorist attacks against innocent Iraqis." Syria responded by severing military and intelligence ties with the United States and claiming that they have arrested or deported over 1,200 jihadis who were attempting to enter Iraq. The United States is just ungrateful for the efforts, according to the Syrian government. The situation along the Syrian-Iraqi border has gotten so bad there are rumors that a buffer zone will be created to seal the border.

A guide for aspiring jihadis willing to fight in Iraq surfaces on the Internet. The guide states that Syria is the main transit point, and the Syrian security services alternate between cracking down on the infiltrators and looking the other way.

"These Salafite jihadists send small groups to Iraq through Syrian territory, but be aware of the Syrian regime which has begun to make entering and leaving the country more difficult. Enter Syria through Turkey, but you will need the help of people who know the procedure," it advises.
The text also warns of potential dangers and what to do if encountered: "it is possible that you may be arrested by the Syrian forces. This is most likely to happen if you are not organised, as the Syrian regime tends to turn a blind eye to mujahadeen who use secondary roads or who make their way to Iraq passing only through border towns."

Syria is the main conduit for men, money & material to the Iraqi insurgency and al Qaeda. The Washington Post has a detailed article on the Syrian involvement in funneling terrorists to Iraq, based on the interview of Abu Ibrahim, a Syrian radical and smuggler of human cargo. Abu Ibrahim fought in Iraq himself, and details the devastating toll the foreign jihadis encountered; "In the summer of 2004, Abu Ibrahim got to go to Iraq. He crossed the dunes with 50 other volunteers, dodging U.S. patrols on the Iraqi side… But when he returned to Syria after the massive U.S. offensive in Fallujah, only three people were alive from the original 50, he said. One was a suicide bomber." These are extraordinarily high casualty numbers, indicating the jihadis have little training, there is disregard for their well-being by their command, they are encountering overwhelming Coalition forces or a combination of the above. Abu Ibrahim also reports that Zarqawi is a critical leader in the insurgency.

"The man who is leading it for the most part is Zarqawi…" Abu Ibrahim credited Zarqawi with revitalizing the insurgency, especially since October, when he pledged fealty to Osama bin Laden, the al Qaeda leader. Abu Ibrahim said that union helped cement an alliance among several resistance groups in Iraq that formed a joint treasury. "Six months ago, Zarqawi and Osama bin Laden were different," he said. "Osama did not consider the killing of Shiites as legitimate. Zarqawi did that. Anyone -- Christian, Jew, Sunni, Shiites -- whoever cooperates with the Americans can be killed. It's a holy war."

This article confirms the words of caution in the infiltration guide – the Syrians oscillate between assisting the insurgency to preventing the exodus into Iraq. The jihadi traffickers are suspicious of their Syrian hosts.

Abu Ibrahim said he now views the [Syrian sponsored cleric Abu Qaqaa] with suspicion, suggesting that he is helping Syrian authorities track jihadi "rat lines," as U.S. commanders refer to the smuggling chains. The same suspicion was voiced last autumn by a Yemeni fighter interviewed in Fallujah. "The Syrians are in an awkward position," Abu Ibrahim said. "On one side they want to do whatever the Americans want them to. And on the other side they want to fight the Americans."

The Syrians have the ability to track and arrest the leaders and foot soldiers of the insurgency. Assad runs a police state and has no compunctions about using the security services in the interest of the state. He has demonstrated in the past that he has the capacity to arrest high value targets such as Sabawi Ibrahim al-Hassan al-Tikriti, number 36 on the deck of cards and 29 other members of his group.

But the time for half measures is coming to an end. The Iraqi government is coming to an understanding that it is necessary to secure Baghdad, push westward to secure the Anbar province and close the Syrian border to defeat the insurgency. The American government is losing patience with Syrian double-dealing. The war is pushing closer to the Syrian border, and the "awkward position" of the Assad regime may evolve into an uncomfortable one if the United states decides to engage in hot pursuit across the Syrian border, strike camps and other targets in Syrian territory or occupy Syrian land to stem the flow of the fighters in Iraq.

2 TrackBacks

Tracked: July 20, 2005 7:36 PM
The River War Continues from The Fourth Rail
Excerpt: Coalition forces have encountered two hard days of fighting in the city of Rawah, located on the Euphrates River about 50 miles west of Qusaybah, which is situated on the Syrian border. Soldiers from the 1st Brigade, 25th Infantry Division’s...
Tracked: July 25, 2005 3:31 AM
A Springtime of Ops in Iraq from The Fourth Rail
Excerpt: Over the course of the past week, Coalition forces conducted four separate battalion size plus operations in Iraq, two in Anbar - Spear in Karabilah and Dagger near lake Thar Thar, one south of Mosul in Tal Afar (Operation Veterans...

10 Comments

Didn't the US military come out and say that there was no evidence that a meeting of al-Qaeda in Syria or any other bordering country recently occurred.

Dan Darling discussed it below.

...Dan's discussion also linked within this post... the beauty of following links...

I think we should begin planning the invasion of Syria immediately but at the same time keep stating publicly that we are hoping for a peaceful diplomatic solution and that war is our last option.

Worked in Iraq like a charm.

Neocons will have us invading Syria. Anyone can see the Syrians are innocent bystanders. Better to give Syria more foreign aid. Be supportive of Syria, understand why Syrians and the jihadis hate us. Only then can we have a clean slate with the mujehadin. First, Guantanamo and Abu Ghraib must be closed. Then the illegal invasion of Iraq must be reversed. Saddam must be released and given reparations. Then we will have the respect of the muslim world.

We must continue the fight to show one that the U.N.'s Resolutions are not to be taken lightly. And two, to show the world when a leader signs a cease fire agreement they will be expected to live up to their obligations. Current precedent says they have no more than twelve years to live up to those obligations and that is entirely to long... one year sounds fair.

Also, what the "F" is a neocon.

So much sarcasm, so little time....

Lindsay;
Fine post. Not one accurate word or idea. Outstanding!

Syria is lost, in the sense that it has no more basis for existing in its present form. The government is a dead man walking. I doubt it will last a year, but certainly not two.

Oops, meant "Lindsey", not "Lindsay".

We must continue the fight to show one that the U.N.'s Resolutions are not to be taken lightly.

Israel?

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