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August 23, 2005

Winds of War Briefing: Aug 23/05

by Evariste at August 23, 2005 12:51 AM

Welcome! Our goal at Winds of Change.NET is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from the global War on Terror that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Thursday.

Today's Winds of War briefing is brought to you by evariste of Discarded Lies.

Top Topics

  • JK: Meanwhile, here's some good news from Afghanistan. No, not Chrenkoff - but worthy. Just one of the good folks we're working with to keep these briefings going after Arthur Chrenkoff retires.

Other Topics Today Include:
Turkey holding Zarqawi confederate?; AQ chief in Saudi killed (yes, again); Putin flirts with Jordan; US permanent troop presence in Iraq details; US teams up with 4 countries against MS-13; NYPD & its Middle Eastern employees; ACLU whining; Arab Bank fined; two states of emergency along the border with Mexico; US shopping mall security learns from the Israelis; US mediates release of hundreds of POWs in Morocco; Mugabe tottering; how Binnie got da Bomb; 27 terrorist training camps in Pak sez India; JI US embassy truck-bomb plot thwarted; UK wrings hands as terrorists broadcast demoralizing messages inciting the death of its soldiers in Iraq-from their UK facilities!; IRA doings; UK appoints fox to guard hens; secret spilled; Bakri and Little Bakri still in the news and mucho mucho more...

THE MIDDLE EAST & IRAN

AMERICAN DOMESTIC SECURITY & THE AMERICAS

AFRICA

ASIA

  • Bombs over Bangladesh: namely, 300 of them! Security forces detained about a hundred nobodies in the investigation, one of whom (a madrassa student, 18) had in his possession military training videos and bin Laden porn.

EUROPE

  • The Dutch are getting less tolerant of Islamists. A recent poll notes that "63% of the respondents were in favour of a legal ban on civil servants wearing Muslim dress, while 80% agreed that government workers shouldn't wear such attire because it signals their unwillingness to adapt to life in the Netherlands."

THE GLOBAL WAR

  • Famous terrorist inciting bastard Bakri: now planning to set up shop and carry on business as usual in Lebanon, the UAE or Pakistan. My money's on Pak. Bakri's Mini-Me, still in the UK, isn't sitting still, recommending the bombing of that notorious oppressor of Muslim lands, Ireland. Oy.

Thanks for reading! If you found something here you want to blog about yourself (and we hope you do), all we ask is that you do as we do and offer a Hat Tip hyperlink to today's "Winds of War". If you think we missed something important, use the Comments section to let us know.

For ongoing tips, email "MondayWindsOfWar", over here @windsofchange.net.


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Listed below are links to weblogs that reference
"Winds of War Briefing: Aug 23/05"
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Excerpt: Evariste at the Winds of Change.NET has put up the latest Winds of War for all of your world news needs. Here are some highlights:
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The "Axis of Up Yours!" from Boxing Alcibiades
Excerpt: An Eastern European axis makes a lot of sense, and possesses a number of advantages... and, frankly, given the way East-Central and Eastern Europe is treated by both Russia and the FrancoGerman alliance, is long overdue.

Comments
#1 from evariste at 12:58 am on Aug 23, 2005

Sorry it's late! Going out with a bang ;-) (This may be my last briefing). I think you'll agree it was worth the wait.

#2 from boz at 2:17 am on Aug 23, 2005

Nice briefing. Just one correction. Secretary Rumsfeld visited Paraguay and Peru, not Bolivia.

#3 from Mixed Humor at 2:36 am on Aug 23, 2005

If this is your last call, thanks for all of your work in putting together these briefings over the months...it has been appreciated. Will be sure to check in at Discarded Lies.

#4 from PacRim Jim at 4:10 am on Aug 23, 2005

Meanwhile, China is sizing up Russia's forces in preparation for stripping Siberia from Russia for lebensraum. Putin will be remembered as the man who lost Siberia.

#5 from Joe Katzman at 4:13 am on Aug 23, 2005

Great briefing, Ev.

#6 from Mark Buehner at 2:38 pm on Aug 23, 2005

"It looks like 50-60,000 US troops will remain in Iraq near-permanently, in four mega-bases. Currently, US troops are housed in over a hundred bases, which is being reduced to 14, then four. "

This is madness. One of the major sticking points with breaking the Sunni insurgents away from the foriegners is Sunni fears that the US is never leaving. Now this is just Robert Higgs interpretation of why we're spending half a billion on bases, but whether its true or not isnt really material. Perceptions count. We have done a lousy job of making our intention of leaving Iraq clear. It is costing lives, and it may cost us a great deal more. We need to provide a roadmap for full American withdrawal. Not based on a an arbitrary calender, but based on events and metrics. IE, elections, Iraqi army units reaching a certain number, attacks falling to certain levels, etc. This is a critical component to our success, and honestly im suspicious of the administrations intentions in this area.

#7 from JC at 7:34 pm on Aug 23, 2005

Mark,

I'm pretty sure that the administration plans to leave some troops in Iraq, for the foreseeable future.

50K troops for -

a. Border security - so that other nations don't think they can sieze part of Iraq.
b. Nice forward deployment area.
c. Backup - when needed - for the nascent Iraqi government.
d. 50K can be sustained long-term, with other troops commitments, without damaging Army readiness.

Now you are completely right about the effect this has on Sunni and other insurgents. I think the goal is (and history bears this out to a degree) that if the US military leaves "civil affairs" alone - doesn't threaten the resident government power, the same government gets money for having troops there, and can count on the troops in a pinch, that the resentment for troops simply simmers below the surface, because the government is accepting of the situation.

That's the theory at least - don't know if also works in the Middle East.

#8 from Mark Buehner at 7:38 pm on Aug 23, 2005

b,c, and d can all be accomplished from Kuwait. A can be accomplished by the Iraqi Army, and since the Americans wont leave until the insurgency is manageable by the IA it wont be an issue.

#9 from Seth Lipton at 9:12 pm on Aug 23, 2005

Mark, JC,

Anti-war analysts always make this silly presumption that bases the US build can only be manned by Americans. Like they're built in some special 'US size' that doesn't fit Iraqis. Believe me, Iraqis can make use of any facility we leave behind just like we Americans can, and they will, of course, take them over when we pull out. Any army base we build, no matter how 'perminent', is ZERO evidence that we plan to stay one minute longer than we have to. What would be absurd would be for us to deny our troops decent facilities, and keep them in temporary shelters when we don't have to, and leave the Iraqis the bag of having construct such bases themselves after we leave. This 'perminent base = intent to stay' stuff is more rationalisation by war opposers to support their anti-imperialist belief system ('Bush's real plan must be colonization like we thought! Look! He's building housing that won't blow over in a sandstorm!' - rubbish). That it gives a bad impression is evidence of our side's lack of communication skills, which is the real problem we have across the board.

#10 from Mark Buehner at 9:57 pm on Aug 23, 2005

Seth, thats a fair point, but again perception is important. Why hasnt Bush made it a point to make it abundantly clear we arent keeping troops in Iraq a minute longer than necessary? And more importantly to describe how that eventuality will play out in general terms? Either Bush and his advisors are complete morons (which they arent despite what their enemies think), or there is a very real desire to have Iraq as a forward base in the ME. There are good reasons for wanting this, but the cost is too high at the moment. Permanent bases are a bridge too far and I dont know that the administration has accepted that.

#11 from Seth Lipton at 10:25 pm on Aug 23, 2005

"Why hasnt Bush made it a point to make it abundantly clear we arent keeping troops in Iraq a minute longer than necessary? And more importantly to describe how that eventuality will play out in general terms?"

Yea, like I said: "That it gives a bad impression is evidence of our side's lack of communication skills, which is the real problem we have across the board."

In 'Plan of Attack' there's a description of Bush giving advice to (I think) the Italian prime minister regarding domestic opposition, telling him 'leaders lead, they aren't lead', or words to that effect, with the idea being he should just do what he needs to do and not worry about what the critics say. I remeber him acting similarly as Govenor of Texas during a controversy about executing a murderer who'd had a jailhouse conversion. In every case his style has always seemed to be 'don't explain yourself, don't heed the critics, just do what you know is right. Walk decisivly and the people will follow you'. As though explaining yourself is a sign of weakness... Which could also be part of the reason why when he is pressed to explain his policies he tends to do it with this smile or smirk at the end of the sentence, which comes off patronising, like it should be obvious what he's explaining.

Fundementally, I think it could be as simple as just a flawed leadership strategy: He doesn't explain himself because he doesn't think a strong leader should have to.

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