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Monday's Winds of War: 24 Oct 2005

| 11 Comments | 2 TrackBacks

Welcome! Our goal at Winds of Change.NET is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from the global War on Terror that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Thursday. Monday's Winds of War briefings are given by Security Watchtower and Peace Like a River.

Top Topics

  • Al Qaeda's second in command, Ayman al-Zawahri, has urged Muslims to provide assistance to the earthquake victims in Pakistan, "even though its government was an agent of the United States". Zawahri appeared in a video broadcast, and said "We all know the United States is against the activities of Islamic charities".

Other topics today include: Shootouts in the West Bank; al Qaeda arrests in Saudi Arabia; Demonstrations in Egypt; Jordanian court trial; Report criticizes FBI; al Qaeda and the Caribbean; Police Chief killed in Kandahar; Gunfights errupt in Afghanistan; Indonesian authorities seize explosives; Abu Sayyaf marijuana plantation; Thai-Malaysian border security; Terror arrests in UK; Anarchy in Somalia; Autonomy in southern Sudan; and more.

Iran & the Middle East

  • UPI Editor Martin Walker reviewed John Bradley's book Saudi Arabia Exposed this past week, calling it the most "revealing and important book on the real Saudi Arabia to have been published in years."
  • The Institute for National Strategic Studies has published a lengthy paper (PDF) entitled Reassessing the Implications of a Nuclear-Armed Iran. The paper deals with two larger questions: the European Union's diplomatic efforts to curtail Iran's nuclear program, and Israel's perception of an Iranian nuclear threat and its options in dealing with what it describes as the greatest danger to its security today.
  • According to reports, Israel is dropping the campaign to have Hamas excluded from parliamentary elections in January, but remain opposed to the terrorist groups participation. The move comes after the recent Bush-Abbas meeting in which the U.S. President failed to reiterate the opposition of Hamas participation.
  • An anti-Christian demonstration in Alexandria, Egypt, a week ago has been turned into anti-Christian video-propaganda by jihadist groups. Video film of Wednesday's protest appeared on Friday on a forum much used by al-Qaeda aligned groups. Gateway Pundit has a report on more riots in Alexandria just this past Saturday.

America Domestic Security & the America's

  • Former Canadian ambassador to Yugoslavia James Bissett writes that "the most serious threat to North American security comes from Canada’s lax asylum system". Bissett says the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam, a dangerous terrorist group, have not been placed on Canada's terrorist list. Canada's Muslim population has more than doubled since 1990.
  • A report released Thursday is critical of the FBI and other intelligence agencies, saying they have made little progress in key areas they must reform, putting the nation at greater risk of a successful terrorist attack. The report is especially critical of the FBI and its slow pace of change. (The report is available here in PDF).
  • Writing for the Jamestown Foundation, Chris Zambelis warns of the "potential threat of al-Qaeda using the Caribbean Basin as a base of operations". Al Qaeda may be recruiting from among local Muslim extremist groups.

Russia & South/Central Asia

  • A Russian Interior Ministry official said "no more than 200 militants" attacked Nalchik on October 13-14. Thirty-five security and police personnel were killed in that attack. According to Russian officials, 91 of the attackers were killed and 36 captured in counter operations, which continued into Friday.
  • A deputy provincial police chief and one of his bodyguards were killed in Kandahar, Afghanistan, by a car bomb. Elements of the Taliban were blamed. An aid worker was killed in another attack.
  • A two hour gun battle in Afghanistan late Friday left eight police and four terrorists dead. The government sent 200 police reinforcements into the area to hunt down the attackers.
  • With most of the election results in, at least half of Afghanistan's lower house of Parliament will be made up of religious figures or former fighters, including four former Taliban commanders. Political analysts predict a deeply divided and confrontational body.
  • India Daily reports from Bangladesh that "Islamist militants are...regrouping in the remote hills of the Tangail district, about 62 miles northwest of the capital, Dhaka". Hundreds have been arrested following the numerous August 17 bomb blasts. There are indications a major Al-Qaeda figure is leading the Jihadists.
  • Operation Pil is a seven day, battalion-reinforced operation aimed at disrupting enemy activities and sanctuaries in Afghanistan’s volatile Kunar province. U.S. troops from four military branches joined together for the operation, which has seen about 12 engagements.

Far East & Southeast Asia

  • On Saturday a special US envoy said that the Jemaah Islamiyah terrorist group in the southern Philippines posed a serious threat to that entire region. The group possesses technical skills such as bomb-making, and has been blamed for the 2002 and 2005 Bali bombings. Henry Crumpton also said a peace deal in the works with the Moro Islamic Liberation Front may put pressure on the Jemaah Islamiyah group.
  • South Korea and the United States agreed yesterday to "appropriately accelerate" discussions on Seoul's efforts to gain greater control of its national defense, including operational command of its forces in wartime. In their joint news briefing, Yoon and Rumsfeld noted that North Korea's continued development of weapons of mass destruction and long-range missiles along with other dangers were the root of serious security concerns in the region.

Europe

  • Italian authorities say that Al Qaeda operatives are making their way from North Africa to Northern Europe through safe houses operated by a Naples-based organized crime network. Italian investigative sources say Al Qaeda operatives disembark almost daily from ships connecting Italy to the Arab countries of North Africa.
  • Three men suspected of international terrorism have been arrested after raids on addresses in London and Kent. The Metropolitan Police said the arrests were not connected to bomb attacks on London in July.
  • Police in England have arrested a 27-year old man in connection with the July 7 London bombings. The man was arrested Saturday in the Dewsbury area of West Yorkshire "on suspicion of the commission, preparation or instigation of acts of terrorism".
  • French judge Jean-Louis Bruguiere has declared Iraq "is quite a black hole sucking up all the elements located in Europe, and pushing them to leave Europe and go to Iraq," and then warned of those returning to Europe with jihadist skills.

Africa

  • Anarchy in Somalia is overwhelming the new government of that country. At least one Al Qaeda cell is present in Somalia, and homegrown Islamist militias move about freely. Famine is exacerbating the problem.
  • A Maltese-registered ship was attacked by pirates last Wednesday off the coast of Somalia. The pirates are demanding $700,000 in ransom for the ship and crew. International maritime officials say Somali waters are some of the world's most dangerous.
  • South Sudan has formed an autonomous government as part of a January peace deal that ended more than two decades of civil war in Africa's largest country, a senior official said on Sunday. The former southern rebel Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) signed the deal with the Islamist northern government.
  • Sixty Algerian terrorists are preparing to surrender as part of a government reconciliation program implemented last month, aimed at ending the lengthy and violent insurgency that has engulfed Algeria for more than a decade.

The Global War

  • According to some reports, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi has expanded his network of contacts to 24 terrorist groups spread throughout 40 nations.
  • Hastings College (in Hastings, Nebraska) is holding a symposium on terrorism through Wednesday. However, judging from some of the speakers, this may be something Cindy Sheehan would not be entirely uncomfortable attending.
  • British Home Secretary Charles Clarke gave a lecture titled Contesting the Threat of Terrorism, in which he makes the case that the best way to contest terrorism "is by building and strengthening the democracy of our society, by isolating extremism in its various manifestations, by strengthening the legal framework within which we contest terrorism, and by developing more effective means to protect our democracy."
  • Izmir is the location of a small US air base on the Aegean coast of Turkey. Since shortly after 9/11, with a few exceptions, dependents have not been allowed along on a one-year tour. There is a desire to once again make it an accompanied tour.

Thanks for reading! If you found something here you want to blog about yourself (and we hope you do), all we ask is that you do as we do and offer a Hat Tip hyperlink to today's "Winds of War". If you think we missed something important, use the Comments section to let us know. For ongoing tips, email "MondayWindsOfWar", over here @windsofchange.net.

2 TrackBacks

Tracked: October 25, 2005 3:58 PM
Excerpt: Thomas Sowell, Us or Them John Podhoretz, Times Trashfest Mark Steyn, Never Think It Couldn't Happen Here The Guardian, Make the punishment fit the crime Bill Roggio, al Qaeda Attack on Palestine HotelNews Roundup Winds Of Change, Winds of War...
Tracked: October 27, 2005 7:44 PM
Nuclear Iran from Democratic Vista
Excerpt: The Implications of a Nuclear Iran ... Via Winds of Change, the Institute for National Strategic Studies recently published Reass...

11 Comments

Elections have just been completed in Liberia, a big first step where the wake of the Doe dictatorship has left easily half a million dead but "Thanks mainly to the United Nations peacekeeping force, and the determination of Liberian pro-democracy groups who forced through a peace deal in 2003, the country has been transformed." There is still a ways to go, but peace has been established. For a good resume of the progress see: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/africa/4359724.stm

Apparently Obi-Wan Kenobi and his droids are war criminals. I distinctly remember them burning Jawa bodies. I can only assume this goes straight up the chain of command and was accepted if not ordered by the Jedi Council. Yoda should be brought up on human rights violations (Jawa rights?)

Yeah, it was the part where Obi and his special forces were trying to smoke out the Jawa position, and were burning the bodies, knowing the Jawas have a special religious injunction against that, to try and get them to... well we're not really sure.
Obi was seeing into the future and knew that a long time in the future in a galaxy far far away human wars would show that mutilating dead and bombing civilians tends to only harden attitudes and increase resistence.
Since he wanted to increase the challenge faced by his Jedi Special Forces he decided to make things just a little bit harder on the lads, all part of the test you know, and get the Jawas fired up.

Good friend from Izmir- supposed to be great town- big and busy like Istanbul but with great beaches and islands nearby. Too bad the better halves of the best of best are not able to see it.

Hmm, clarification by the Rebellion media office: in fact the Jawas were burned to dispose of the bodies efficiently, less they were left to rot and be devoured by wildlife (no word on how respectful that would be to local sensibilities). Taunting the enemy was an after the fact freelance by a rebellion psy-ops unit. The rebellion objects strenously to the charge of bombing civilians, urging interested parties to investigate which side makes it a habit of terrorizing civilian populaces by destroying entire planets as a matter of course. In response to the charge of turning hearts and minds to the empire, the Rebellion also urges that the number of star systems slipping through the empire's fingers and installing democratic governments be accounted for.

"Al Qaeda's second in command, Ayman al-Zawahri, has urged Muslims to provide assistance to the earthquake victims in Pakistan"

Is this an attempt to feed the Jihadi coffers when they are feeling the pinch? Jihadi organisations are involved in relief work and lots of money would be going to them, which otherwise should've gone to the victims.

They didn't give out any such call when Iran earthquake happened a couple of years back in southern Iran. This is what makes me skeptical of Irani connection with al-Qaeda too. They may, undoubtably, be involved in Iraq and nuclear weapons development, but no credible evidence links them to al-Q, just stories apparantly.

I remember a bunch of guys who were burned, dragged through the streets and hung from a bridge, and it wasn't any movie, either.

Good work on the new monday briefing.
Also, #6; I am not aware of your info sources, however, various and numerous Iranian
(and the definition of what and who in the Iranian establishment quickly gets complicated. Many of the apparatus are shadow organizations) links/contacts/and dealings with again numerous alQaudo(remembering a-Q is not a monolithic entity, it is composed of constantly shifting and loose affiliations of many disparate groups, movements and individuals)
entities has been reported or at least indicated in open sources all throughout the past 20 odd years.
If you want to, dig into who and why in the Iranian govt(or linked to them or others in power or influence with or for the actual govt...or more importantly, the supreme council and all their cronies, links and private goon squads)
has been keeping on ice(basically house arrest with amenities), last time I checked, in a northern Iranian caspian sea town or area, a bunch of al-Q guys they scarfed up when the rats jumped ship during the US invasion of Afghan in 01. What you will find might interest you.

Is this an attempt to feed the Jihadi coffers when they are feeling the pinch?

It is an attempt to win some support. A-Q is getting a bad rep for killing Arab Muslims in such large numbers, hence Zawahiri telling Zarqawi to tone it down. The same with the head-hacking.

It also explains the recent focus on Hamas, the Gaza retreat and other Jew-killing related news items. Zarqawi doesn't get it, but other al-Qaeda leaders do: there is virtually no support to be gained in killing Arab Muslims, but a lot to be gained by killing Jews.

And also by being seen to help Muslims in need.

They didn't give out any such call when Iran earthquake happened a couple of years back in southern Iran. This is what makes me skeptical of Irani connection with al-Qaeda too.

A-Q wasn't nearly as unpopular then as it is now. Also, Shi'ites? Why would al-Qaeda give a damn about Shi'ites, unless there's a benefit to giving a damn?

In the case of Iran, al-Qaeda's alliance is specifically with the government, not the general public. In Pakistan, al-Qaeda depends heavily on the various domestic jihadi groups for security, cannon fodder, and training camps following the loss of their own in Afghanistan. These differences are essential to note, as getting the Pakistani jihadi groups up and running again through aid relief and donations to their NGO wings like the Jamaat ud-Dawaa (aka the Lashkar-e-Taiba) take on a far higher degree of importance than say, how the Iranian government might view them following the death of 30,000 of its citizens in Bam. In addition, the more well-regarded the jihadis are by the locals because of the relief efforts, the less of an impetus there will be to turn them over to the government and the US.

" Interesting topic... I know that Zawahiri is also highly critical of attacks on ordinary Shia Muslims in Iraq. His letter repeats the ultra-orthodox Sunni view that Shia Islam is based on ""falsehood"", but questions the need to pursue this conflict in Iraq. ""It has always been my belief that the victory of Islam will never take place until a Muslim state is established ... in the heart of the Islamic world,"" al-Zawahiri wrote.

"

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