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A Prediction for the Future

| 2 Comments

What comes? My best guess, for now, is here.

2 Comments

When you talk about the Iraqi central government joining with the US to destroy al Sadr, what makes you think it won't be everyone against US? Especially if the Israel-Lebanon war continues, or gets worse. While the Mahdi Army is separate from the Iraqi government forces, they're both Shia, and if push comes to shove...

The fact that the Shi'ites are themselves divided -- and always have been -- is the reason I think so. The Central government's authority is secured in part by alliance with the US; and the most influential of Iraqi clerics, al-Sistani, has little apparent love for al-Sadr, the chief radical. I don't think many will mourn al-Sadr's passage.

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