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Monday's Winds of War: 7 August 2006

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Welcome! Our goal at Winds of Change.NET is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from the global War on Terror that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Friday. Monday's Winds of War briefings are given by C.S. Scott and Jeff Kouba of Security Watchtower.

Top Topics

  • In Somalia, the streets of Baidoa are filled with red-eyed militiamen holding AK47s in one hand and bags of qat in the other. The town is home to a government in crisis, rocked by thirty-six resignations in the past nine days and hemmed in on all sides by militias linked to Somalia’s dominant Islamic courts.
  • With three weeks left before a UN Security Council deadline expires, Iran has officially indicated they will not surrender uranium enrichment activities as requested, a move that could lead to economic sanctions and further isolation.
  • Both sides in Sri Lanka's civil war are preparing for what is likely to be a bloody and prolonged resumption of the conflict. In operations now under way, the Sri Lankan army is having to fight its way across well-fortified and heavily mined terrain. Many informed observers believe that the military remains incapable of totally defeating the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), one of the world's most ruthless and capable insurgent organizations.

Other topics today include: Israeli/Hezbollah fighting; IAF airstrikes; Zawahiri tape; Clashes between Turks and Kurds; Palestinian suicide bomber thwarted; Jordanian lawmakers sentenced; IDF Commando raids; Saudi terror trials; Attack on prison in Jericho; Iran's hunt for uranium; Hunt for al Qaeda in Iraq; Saudi cleric condemns Hezbollah; Rumsfeld under fire; 9/11 conspiracy; Agroterrorism; Padilla trial delayed; The politics of war; Anti-Israeli protests; Bombing in Columbia; Chavez wants air defense shield; Tensions in Kodori Gorge; Russia to extradite Uzbek terror suspects; IMU suicide bombing; Heavy fighting in southern Afghanistan; and more.

Iran & the Middle East

  • On Sunday night, the Israeli Air Force struck more than 150 targets in Lebanon, including bridges, roads, bunkers, rocket launchers and launch sites. According to Lebanese sources, ten people perished in the strikes.
  • Arriving in Lebanon, Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Muallem said he is ready to join Hezbollah and warned Israel that Syria is prepared to militarily respond if the crisis escalates.
  • Fighting in the village of Mahviv on Sunday in southwestern Lebanon, has left 16 Hezbollah fighters dead and one IDF soldier seriously wounded. Two trucks loaded with rockets, and several rocket and mortar launchers were uncovered in the operation.
  • Israeli intelligence reports that the majority of IDF casualties suffered during the three week offensive in southern Lebanon, have come at the hands of deadly Hezbollah anti-tank units. According to the reports, the Shi'ite terrorist are armed with the Russian-made RPG-29, which Moscow sold to Syria and were later transfered to Hezbollah.
  • An Israel Air Force strike destroyed a house in the northern Gaza Strip on Monday after residents said they received two telephone calls from the army, one urging them to leave and a second insisting, "This is not a joke." An IDF spokeswoman said the house had been used by Islamic Jihad to store weapons. No one was injured in the blast.
  • According to Lebanese media sources, the Arab League will call an emergency summit this week to discuss the situation in Lebanon. Reports indicate the summit will be held in Mecca, Saudi Arabia.
  • Israeli forces captured a Palestinian terrorist and several associates on Saturday, who were armed with an explosive belt and had planned to carry out a suicide bombing in the Sharon region.
  • Israeli commandos carried out another raid behind enemy lines on Friday night, when helicopters inserted elements of the 13th Flotilla Naval commando unit into the Lebanese city of Tyre, a Hezbollah stronghold. The target of the raid were Hezbollah fighters holed up in a five-story building they were using to facilitate rocket launches on the Israeli city of Hadera.
  • The Saudi Justice Ministry has announced that trials for suspected terrorists will soon begin in special state security courts. Twenty-two terror attacks in the Kingdom over the last three years have left 90 civilians dead and 507 others wounded. Fighting between Saudi security forces and al Qaeda have also taken a toll, with 52 police officers being killed and 213 wounded, while 92 terrorists have been killed and 17 others wounded (also see graphic of Saudi Most Wanted).
  • The last group of detained Asian workers left the al Safa military camp in the Gulf state of Oman on Friday, as officials announced the closure of the facility that held detainees swept up in various security operations.
  • Palestinian gunmen dressed in police uniforms broke into a prison in the West Bank city of Jericho on Friday and killed six Palestinian inmates accused of killing Fatah officials.
  • According to reports from custom officials in Tanzania, Iran attempted to smuggle large amounts of bomb-making uranium from the Shinkolobwe uranium mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo last year, before authorities intercepted the shipment destined for Bandar Abbas in Iran. The news was apparently included in a United Nations report two weeks ago, that said there "was no doubt" that a huge shipment of uranium-238 was smuggled into Tanzania from DRC.
  • Coalition special forces continue to hunt al Qaeda assets in Iraq, severely degrading the organization in recent months. More than 150 assaults in July have resulted in the killing of 25 al Qaeda operatives and the capture of more than 300 terror suspects. Many of those killed or captured were mid-level or high-level ranking members of al Qaeda in Iraq. The successes against al Qaeda in July came on the heels of efforts in June that saw the killing of 11 al Qaeda leaders and the capture of 4 others. Most prolific was the killing of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi on June 8th. In the week that followed the death of the terror leader, coalition forces carried out 140 raids against al Qaeda that resulted in 32 kills and 178 arrests. Prior to the airstrike against Zarqawi, coalition forces had killed more than 200 associates of the al Qaeda leader.

America Domestic Security & the Americas

  • Some staff members and commissioners of the Sept. 11 panel concluded that the Pentagon's initial story of how it reacted to the 2001 terrorist attacks may have been part of a deliberate effort to mislead the commission and the public rather than a reflection of the fog of events on that day, according to sources involved in the debate.
  • The New York Times may not withhold reporters' phone records from a federal grand jury investigating an alleged leak of a pending government raid on two Islamic charities suspected of supporting terrorism, a federal appeals court ruled last week.
  • Combative US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has received what may have been his most scathing questioning yet on Capitol Hill, as lawmakers decried what they see as the Pentagon's botched handling of Iraq. Rumsfeld Thursday appeared at a hearing of the Senate's Armed Services Committee where one of the least forgiving questioners was Democratic US Senator Hillary Clinton, a perennial critic, who lashed the defense secretary for a "record of incompetence."
  • More than a third of the American public suspects that federal officials assisted in the 9/11 terrorist attacks or took no action to stop them so the United States could go to war in the Middle East, according to a new Scripps Howard/Ohio University poll.
  • While airport security, seaport protection, illegal immigration, and other functions of the Department of Homeland Security garner more attention and news headlines, one of the most fear terrorist tactics is the use of the United States' domestic food supply chain to kill as many Americans as possible. Intelligence sources believe that this type of terrorist plot is being considered by members of several groups including Al-Qaeda. In fact, the DHS has a term to describe such a tactic: Agroterrorism.
  • A federal judge reluctantly agreed Wednesday to delay the trial of al-Qaida suspect Jose Padilla and two alleged confederates on terrorism charges until early next year after defense lawyers insisted they cannot be ready any earlier.
  • At first glance, Lyglenson Lemorin appears to be just another follower of Narseal Batiste, the ringleader of the so-called Liberty City Seven terror group. But close scrutiny of Lemorin's interview with FBI agents following his June arrest casts some doubt about his commitment to the group's alleged terror plans. The first sign distancing the 31-year-old Haitian immigrant from Batiste and the other accused co-conspirators: the FBI busted him in Atlanta, not Miami.
  • The head of the Republican Party accused Democrats of being willing to surrender the tools necessary to combat terrorism as the GOP tries to capitalize on its national security advantage in a tough election year.
  • An analysis by Jim Kouri says "terrorism is the most significant threat to our national security. In the international terrorism arena, over the next five years, it's believed that the number of state-sponsored terrorist organizations will continue to decline, but privately sponsored terrorist groups will increase in number."
  • For years, the region where the boundaries of Paraguay, Brazil and Argentina converge has been considered a teeming stew of globalization's more unseemly byproducts. Much of the trade that crosses the borders, officials say, is illegitimate. The region is full of smuggled goods and laundered money. Now U.S. officials are launching a broad series of new measures aimed at uncovering money-laundering rings that they believe are funding Hezbollah and other radical groups.
  • The 18th man charged in connection to the alleged Ontario terror plot appeared briefly at a Brampton area court Friday. Ibrahim Alkhalel Mohammed Aboud, 19, was arrested Thursday night at his Mississauga, Ontario home.
  • A demonstration billed as a protest for peace assumed a distinctly anti-Israeli flavour Sunday as protesters denounced the Jewish state for killing hundreds of Lebanese. Children carrying two large Lebanese flags and adults who trailed behind accused Prime Minister Stephen Harper of being an accomplice to Israeli murder. "Israel terrorist, Harper accomplice," members of the crowd shouted in unison as marchers left a downtown park on their journey through city streets.
  • A car bomb exploded in front of a police station in the southwestern city of Cali on Friday, killing four officers and the driver, authorities said. The explosion, which was blamed on leftist rebels, also injured four police officers in Colombia's third-largest city.

Russia, Caucasus & Central Asia

  • Seperatist leaders in Abkhaz are accusing Georgian soldiers of murdering 56 civilians in Kodori Gorge. One Georgian counterintelligence source called the story a "fairy tale" and said the seperatists were trying to draw international monitoring to the region.
  • Preliminary hearings into the Ulman case will begin on August 21st in Rostov-on-Don in the North Caucasian district court. Russian special forces soldiers are accused of open firing on a civilian vehicle in the Chechen Republic back in 2002, killing one man in the initial incident. According to reports, six additional witnesses to the shooting were then executed by the Russian squad in an effort to cover up the initial incident.
  • Former Ukranian intelligence chief Alexander Skipalsky says that Russian secret service agents almost completely supervise the parliament, government and armed forces of Ukraine, estimating the Russian influence on Ukranian policy at 90 percent (as opposed to 10 percent for the U.S.).
  • Russian prosecutors will extradite thirteen people to Uzbekistan who face terrorism charges over the 13 May 2005 Andijan crackdown. The men are suspected of crimes including incitement of extremist acts and murder.
  • An alleged member of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan blew himself up in Tajikistan's northern Sughd Region, killing one police officer and wounding two others.

Afghanistan & Southern Asia

  • The U.S.-led coalition on Friday said 25 Taliban fighters were killed in a joint operation with Afghan forces in the country's south, while a rare gunbattle near the capital killed one militant.
  • Schools are increasingly being attacked across Afghanistan and an estimated 100,000 children in the south are shut out of the classroom due to closures, the United Nations Children's Fund said on Friday. There were nearly 100 attacks on Afghan schools in the first half of the year, a sixfold rise from the same period in 2005, according to the agency which blamed "unknown insurgents."
  • Four Canadian soldiers were killed and 10 wounded Thursday in militant attacks and 21 Afghan civilians died in a suicide car bombing, the latest barrage of violence to herald NATO's new security mission in southern Afghanistan, officials said.
  • The grimmest week Canada has endured in southern Afghanistan — its first in command of the NATO-led mission here — ended with two separate rocket attacks at Kandahar Air Field late Sunday. Two rockets hit the sprawling base about 11 p.m. and another rocket touched down shortly before midnight. There were no injuries and no significant damage. The last rocket attack occurred July 25th and 36 rockets have now been fired at the base.
  • "We can no longer be called the untouchables." So begins a letter from Afghanistan to an Edmonton regiment that had, until Saturday, escaped unscathed from a mission that has seen five Canadians killed in action in just the past week, and 24 since 2002.
  • The bodies of the four Canadian soldiers killed in fierce fighting with insurgents Thursday began the long journey home Saturday morning during a sombre ramp ceremony attended by thousands of troops from several NATO countries when they were carried by 36 pallbearers into the belly of waiting Hercules aircraft. Three of their fellow soldiers injured Thursday, also members of Charlie company, 1st Battalion, Princess Patricia's Canadian Light Infantry, watched the ceremony from wheelchairs and were wheeled onto the plane to pay their final respects.
  • The chief of the British Army defended the military operation in Afghanistan as another soldier was killed today and a report said the deployment was being stretched to "the brink of exhaustion". General Sir Mike Jackson, Chief of the General Staff, said British troops were "getting stuck in" to militia from the deposed Taliban regime and said the soldiers' presence was vital for rebuilding the country.
  • A British soldier was fatally shot Sunday as NATO-led troops went after Taliban insurgents in a southern mountain range, and a U.S. soldier suffered minor injuries in the suicide truck bombing of a military convoy in a neighboring province, officials said. Officials said British and Afghan forces had used air power and ground troops to kill 17 Taliban fighters
  • A NATO convoy was bombed in Afghanistan's south on Friday, a day after four soldiers were killed in the area, but there were no casualties, the alliance said. Witnesses and a Taliban spokesman said a suicide bomber rammed his car into the convoy on the main highway in Kandahar province, but a NATO spokesman in Kabul said it was hit by two roadside bombs.
  • Two Afghan policemen have been killed in a roadside bomb attack targeting a district chief in the south of the country, a local spokesman has said. Shadi Khan escaped unhurt after the bomb hit his car in the province of Kandahar, spokesman Daud Ahmadi said.
  • While the United States dithers, a growing Islamic fundamentalist movement linked to Al Qaeda and Pakistani intelligence agencies is steadily converting strategically located Bangladesh into a new regional hub for terrorist operations that reach into India and Southeast Asia, according to noted South Asia expert Selig S. Harrison.
  • Police have arrested a Kashmiri they believe is linked to a militant Islamic group over serial train blasts in Mumbai last month which killed 183 people, an intelligence officer said on Friday. Abdul Hameed, 35, who was working in Mumbai as a security guard prior to the July 11 blasts, was arrested Thursday night at Potha village in Indian Kashmir’s Poonch district, the officer said.
  • Suspected militants threw a grenade near a bus stand in Indian Kashmir on Wednesday, wounding over a dozen people, police said, the latest in a spate of similar attacks in recent weeks blamed on Islamist guerrillas. The grenade was aimed at a federal police patrol but missed and exploded among people standing close to a crowded bus stand in Surankote town.
  • As many as 52 terrorist training camps are reported to be existing in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) and the Government is continuing to inform the international community of these developments, the Lok Sabha was informed on Wednesday. Insurgent groups also continue to misuse Bangladesh territory for sanctuary, training camps, transportation or arms and transit and were being supported by intelligence agencies, both civil and military, of Bangladesh.
  • Five Islamic militants and an Indian soldier were killed and four soldiers hurt in a series of village gunbattles in revolt-hit Indian Kashmir, police said. Three rebels and the soldier were killed when fighting erupted in Gundana village of southern Doda district late Thursday after the Indian army backed by counter-insurgency police raided a suspected militant hideout, a police spokesman said on Friday.
  • Vitriolic Muslim basher Pravin Togadia is being invited by scholars at India’s leading Islamic seminary here to visit them so as to understand Islam and the country’s Muslim community better. The Darul Uloom says it is important for Hindu hardliners such as Togadia to come to the 140-year-old madrassa to have interaction with Islamic scholars with a view to removing misunderstandings.
  • Seventeen civilians and four police were killed in artillery attacks in Sri Lanka's northeastern Muslim town of Muttur. The civilians were killed when shells hit three schools where they were sheltering after security forces asked them to move to public buildings while troops mopped up Tamil Tiger rebel resistance, officials said Thursday.
  • Thousands of civilians fled Sri Lanka's eastern battle zone by tractor and on foot on Friday as shells fell nearby during an artillery battle between Tamil Tiger rebels and the army, survivors said. Small pockets of rebels continued firefights with troops in the eastern Muslim town of Mutur, where aid workers say between 20,000-30,000 people were trapped by the fighting before they headed south in search of safety.
  • At least 152 Tamil Tiger rebels were killed in northeastern Sri Lanka as security forces established full control over a Muslim coastal town, the defence ministry said on Saturday. Troops using artillery and air attacks inflicted the losses on the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) on Friday afternoon in and around the town of Muttur in Trincomalee district, a ministry spokesman said.
  • Tamil Tigers have massacred over 100 civilians fleeing the fighting between the rebels and the security forces in Sri Lanka's northeast, the Defence Ministry claimed on Saturday. The victims were shot dead as they tried to escape fighting in the Muslim majority town of Muttur in Trincomalee district, the ministry alleged in a statement.
  • Sri Lanka's Tamil Tiger rebels said they had halted an offensive on a government-held town in the east on Saturday and were pulling back, a sign that conflict on the island may be easing off. The government said hostilities would stop if the Tigers kept their word. The pull-back comes after days of shelling and mortar and artillery duels around the eastern town of Mutur, just south of the port city of Trincomalee.
  • Sri Lankan government forces have launched fresh attacks on a reservoir, hours after Tamil Tiger rebels agreed to let it be reopened, reports say. Rebels had warned fresh attacks would be seen as a declaration of war. But a government spokesman said that utilities could not be used by rebels as bargaining tools.

Far East & Southeast Asia

  • Despite attempts by the Muslim Community Reference Group to have Hezbollah removed from Australia's list of terrorist organizations, the government has refused to bow to such demands, with Prime Minister Howard saying there was "no chance" of such a move.
  • A Filipino army offensive against Abu Sayyaf in the southern Philippines continues as the government in Manila repeated its calls to Congress to enact a proposed anti-terrorism bill.
  • Filipino military forces killed seven Abu Sayyaf fighters in a government offensive in Sulu on Friday, as authorities continue to hunt for two suspected Bali bombers and a top leader of Abu Sayyaf. Ismin Sahiron, son of Abu Sayyaf commander Radullan Sahiron, was among those killed in the latest offensive.
  • North Korea is carrying out an unpresedented effort to forge U.S. currency, that began as early as 1989. An estimated $ 50 million, only a small portion of counterfeit currency in circulation, has been seized by U.S. authorities.
  • The threat of a new missile test by North Korea diminished after Pyongyang removed a Taepodong-2 from a missile site to an undisclosed location.

Europe

  • With more than 720 members in prison and less than 200 still at large, the Basque terrorist group ETA has largely been defeated by Spanish authorities. At least some of the credit is being given to a post-9/11 atmosphere that no longer tolerates terrorism as in the past.
  • Italy's government has acknowledged that there are secret documents it cannot declassify related to the alleged CIA kidnapping of a terrorism suspect in Milan. The documents were originally classified under Berlusconi's center-right government, but the center-left government has also refused to declassify the information and Italian military intelligence refuses to cooperate fully with the investigation.
  • A Belgrade newspaper is reporting that Bosnian Serb war crimes suspect Ratko Mladic, the former Bosnian Serb military leader sought by a U.N. court on genocide charges, including the massacre of 8,000 Bosnian Muslim men and boys at Srebrenica in 1995, has not been arrested because he has friends in Serbian intelligence services.
  • Lorenzo Vidino has commentary and analysis on Italy's "short-sighted" government pardon last week that has resulted in the release of more than 5,000 inmates, some of which have proven terror links.
  • About 15,000 protesters took part in a march in London on Sunday to demand an end to "Israeli crimes" in Lebanon. The protests were organized by the Stop the War coalition, who oppose the U.S.-led war on terror.
  • An EU rapid reaction team of border guards set up to deal with illegal immigration has begun work in Italy. Three officials arrived on the remote Mediterranean island of Lampedusa after appeals for assistance from Rome. The team will be organising joint EU naval patrols in the area to stem the influx of migrants, mostly from Africa.

Africa

  • The Head Heeb blog comments here on the struggling Somalian government. Jonathan writes "It isn't yet the final blow, but that may not be long in coming, and when it does, few are likely to notice. Ghedi may well have made one of the most unintentionally ironic statements of the crisis when he told BBC radio that his troubles were "not affecting the possibility of the government to run the country." He's right - the TFG had no ability to run the country before, and it doesn't have any now."
  • Ethiopia accused its neighbour and foe Eritrea on Friday of "actively supporting" al Qaeda, in its strongest attack yet on Asmara over the escalating crisis in neighbouring Somalia.
  • Three Filipino oil workers were kidnapped in southern Nigeria early Friday, a day after a German was abducted in the region where oil revenue has caused strife between multinational companies and local communities.
  • Uganda's Lord Resistance Army (LRA) declared a ceasefire on Friday and called on the government to lay down its arms ahead of peace talks due to resume in south Sudan next week.
  • A South Korean fishing boat with 25 crew members that were seized by pirates off Somalia in April, has arrived safely in Kenya. The Dongwon-ho 628 was released after the alleged payment of a ransom of several hundred thousand dollars.
  • Accusations of foreign meddling in Democratic Republic of Congo's elections mounted this weekend after another candidate warned the international community not to intervene to keep President Joseph Kabila in power. With over two weeks still to go until the deadline for the announcement of results from Sunday's election, the capital of the former Belgian colony was awash with rumors of vote-rigging by Kabila's supporters.

The Global War

  • U.N. Deputy Secretary-General Mark Malloch Brown may want to stick to reforming his own office and stop criticizing member states, a State Department spokesman said last week. Malloch Brown was quoted in a British newspaper Wednesday suggesting that he does not think that Hezbollah, the Syrian- and Iranian-backed group currently fighting Israeli Defense Forces, is a terrorist organization.
  • The U.S. and France agreed Saturday on a draft Security Council resolution that seeks a full halt to fighting in Lebanon, breaking a three-week impasse caused partly by Washington's refusal to press Israel to end its offensive against Hezbollah. The resolution would chart a path toward a lasting peace with a cease-fire monitored by international troops.
  • The office of Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte announced Friday that it will soon begin drafting an updated National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq. The declaration came amid indications this week that the threat to Iraq from foreign terrorist groups such as al Qaeda is receding.
  • The US has said that it does not have any specific information about the al-Qaeda network's presence in Bangladesh. Commenting on a media report that the al-Qaeda may have found its way into Bangladesh, State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said that Washington was as concerned as Dhaka about the issue of terrorism in the South Asian nation.
  • Troops from the United States and three east African nations will stage a joint military and crisis-response exercise this month, the first such operation in six years, officials said. "Exercise Natural Fire 2006" will bring together about 1,000 US, Kenyan, Tanzanian and Ugandan soldiers in a 10-day simulated disaster scenario in Kenya's central Rift Valley beginning on August 8, they said.
  • The US Friday allayed India’s fears over the final shape of the nuclear deal between the two countries, maintaining that the pact would be on the lines of what was originally agreed upon by President George W Bush and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. "I am confident that the final legislation of the nuclear deal will be on the lines of what George Bush agreed when he visited India," US Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asia Richard Bucher said here.
  • The US state department has imposed sanctions on arms firms from Russia, North Korea, India and Cuba for allegedly supplying banned equipment used in the development of weapons of mass destruction or missiles, to Iran.
  • Boeing has unveiled a new combat plane that's designed to jam enemy radar and communications while bolstering the U.S. military's electronic warfare plans. Several hundred people gathered inside a Boeing hangar to see the first Growler, a derivative of the F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter jet that's loaded with radar-jamming gear. The U.S. Navy plans to buy 90 of the planes in a contract that would be worth an estimated $9 billion.

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1 TrackBack

Tracked: August 8, 2006 8:20 AM
A Tangled Web from Other Means
Excerpt: The Beeb's Paul Reynolds takes a brief and orderly look at what's at stake in the current round of Middle East crises (Lebanon invasion, Palestine troubles, Iraq violence, Iran's nukes). Summarized from my own point of view below, it's all (as always) ...

4 Comments

With more than 720 members in prison and less than 200 still at large, the Basque terrorist group ETA has largely been defeated by Spanish authorities.

ho ho ho ho ho ho ho

If they are so defeated, why does ETA still proceed with their extortion campaign with the help of some Police officers?

(correct the link "wordpress" and it will work)

At least some of the credit is being given to a post-9/11 atmosphere that no longer tolerates terrorism as in the past.

All the credit is given by the fact that ETA is achieving what has always demanded.

As an European, therefore used to lies, I demand to keep a certain quality level of them. Otherwise they sound as ridiculous as they are.

I discuss the coming fall of the Syrian regime at:

http://powerandcontrol.bl*gspot.com/2006/08/syria-has-problem.html

Syria Has a Problem. Its days are numbered. Sixty to ninety days. Possibly less.

I think that the sheer size of this week's briefing is evidence enough that the last days could represent the beginning of a turning point in the world conflict situation.

If you consider all of the violence in the Middle East, it's all connected and perhaps part of one wider war developing. Factor in also: the troubles of the former Soviet Union, which are mainly to do with Islamic extremism, nationalism and the authority over energy supplies: the India-Pakistan situation in South Asia; even terrorist movements and Islamic dissent as far apart as the Phillipines, Indonesia and Europe.

Bush seemed to want a Global War on Terror, and wider global war now seems slowly to be emerging. As to who engineered it, then, well...

Hi Philip,

Regarding size, what is truly telling about what is going on in the world, as you point out, is that we really only concentrate on roughly Thursday through Sunday.

The briefing would be huge if we included an entire week's worth of items.

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