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May 2007 Archives

May 31, 2007

Memorial Day 2007

By Armed Liberal at 02:14

South%20High%201.JPG

South High is about a mile from my house.


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My Weekend

By Armed Liberal at 00:33

So in case anyone wondered how I spent my weekend...


Tiger%20Cornering-small.JPG

And on Highway 33 at sunset:

Tiger%20Hwy%2033-small.JPG

I had no laptop, so no Memorial Day post on the day itself. Tonight...


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  • David M: AL, I am proud to share Torrance with you., Would read more
  • Armed Liberal: Levi, meet blogs. Blogs, meet Levi.... A.L. read more
  • Levi Blackman: How can you have a website called windsofchange, and then read more

May 30, 2007

Clowns to the left of me / Jokers to the right, here I am / Stuck in the middle with you.

By Armed Liberal at 20:15

Sorry for the lull - work is crazy busy and I went on our annual Memorial Day motorcycle trip on the new bike.

I'm almost done with Nick Cohen's 'What's Left' and loving it - he's talking about Bad Philosophy and Dirty Hands like he's been reading me. I wish it was a little less polemical, but will have a lot to say about the book if I can get a few hours to put something together.

But what prompted me to write and use the Stealers Wheel lyric as a title were two newsblips - Newsweek's trumpeting that Valerie Plame was, in fact 'covert', and the Washington Times stirring the pot on Annie Jacobsen's instabook charges that Northwest Flight 327 was a terrorist dry run.

Boy, I'm just shaking my head over both of these.


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  • avedis: "My take on evidnece presented, no evidence that Mr Libby read more
  • PD Shaw: The "high-level position" thing will be interesting on appeal, if read more
  • Rob Lyman: The "high-level position" thing will be interesting on appeal, if read more

May 27, 2007

Between Tribalism and Statehood

By Tarek Heggy at 09:20

The sociology of the Arabian peninsula tribes is the key to understanding the Arab character and mentality. In order to trace the historical features of that character and mentality, we must try to imagine the way of life in the inland wastes of the eastern regions of the peninsula over the last twenty centuries. But why the eastern not the western regions? We shall explain why after presenting a panoramic survey of the historical features of the character and mental make-up of the tribes inhabiting the eastern regions of the Arabian peninsula, specifically the tribes of the hinterland, not the coastal areas.


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  • karkea: this is a great peice of art work and liberty read more
  • Fletcher Christian: TOC: I was using Los Angeles as a horrible example. read more
  • TOC: #48 from Fletcher Christian at 12:59 am on Jun read more

May 24, 2007

Free (?) Speech and the ACLU

By Armed Liberal at 20:24

A very important article by Declan McCullagh at Politech about the direction the ACLU is taking:

Does the ACLU still believe in free speech? Maybe not any more

Wendy Kaminer, who co-authors thefreeforall.net with longtime Politech subscriber Harvey Silverglate, has a provocative and well-argued op-ed in Wednesday's Wall Street Journal. Wendy asks whether the ACLU still broadly supports free speech, and answers the question in the negative.

Wendy points out that the ACLU has been silent on a key free speech case involving anti-homosexual statements that set an important (and awful) precedent before the 9th Circuit and was AWOL on the Muhammad "hate speech" cartoons. The ACLU has supported legislative restrictions on speech of pro-life groups offering abortion counseling. The New York Civil Liberties Union failed to criticize a New York City Council resolution condemning use of the "n-word." And so on.1

He raises some extremely serious issues.


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  • Armed Liberal: Thanks, garhane for bringing that little taste of fascist rhetoric read more
  • garhane: It is sort of painful to read all these demonstrations read more
  • Alchemist: Being in the sciences, politics have never been as much read more

May 23, 2007

Immigration, Rac(ing), and Flexibility

By Armed Liberal at 19:14

Hopper.JPG

So Trent (and others, based on the underwhelming show of support for the current iteration of the immigration bill) are deeply upset over the porous nature of our borders. Not only does it impact the domestic economy as low-wage workers have the bottom cut out from under their wages, but it presents risks as terrorists potentially make use of the easy access across our borders to come here and make their plans, and it impacts domestic politics and culture as communities change to become "Little [Name Your Foreign City Here]".

There's a connection to the motorcycle picture, honest.


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  • jdwill: #35 I did in fact read the report. Your point read more
  • Thorley Winston: Oh, and another good point in the case. Kevin Drum read more
  • TOC: To continue: The general approach to the immigration issue itself read more

May 19, 2007

No colours for the revolution in Pakistan

By Nitin Pai at 12:43

America is ignoring the popular movement against Musharraf to its own disadvantage

PostGlobal's Amar Bakshi is going around the world, lugging a laptop and a camcorder, to get a sense of how people in different countries view America. If he ever makes it to Pakistan, he's likely to find a country where anti-Americanism is rife. Pakistanis have genuine reasons to hold a negative opinion of American foreign policy---though not necessarily for the reasons Americans may be inclined to believe. Right now, they have little reason to nurse good feelings towards America, given Washington's determined refusal to demonstrate the smallest amount of sympathy for democracy and freedom in the ongoing confrontation between the people and the dictator.


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  • Fletcher Christian: mullah: Someday the hellfire that your so-called prophet is burning read more
  • mullah cimoc: mullah cimoc say iraki having the two gonad. just for read more
  • Oz: Jim Rockford, This whole "Muslims are all 1 dimensional villains" read more

May 18, 2007

The Immigration Amnesty for Terrorists Act

By Trent Telenko at 17:45

The title of this post is intentionally provocative for a reason. It is a "Cultural Cruise Missile" intended to fly below the radar screens of the media and political elite at the speed of the blogosphere to frame the debate on this bill.

The title is also an accurate description of the effect of the bill. The new so-called "Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act" that is leaving the Senate is just a tarted up Immigration Amnesty bill. If the Bill’s provisions, as currently written, were implemented, the three Duka brothers of the "Fort Dix Six" would have been granted immigration amnesty had they not been arrested for terrorism first.

Resorting to "Cultural Cruise Missile" tactics are necessary as the moneyed interests in Washington are now colluding to put one over on the American public for their narrow interest$ over the General welfare and Security of the American people in their homes and businesses. These developments are being covered by Michelle Malkin, Hugh Hewitt and Mickey Kaus. So I won't comment farther other than noting that,
1) There is no major political voting block in favor of Amnesty.
2) There is a huge one against it,
3) This voting block does not have money in party primaries while the public employee unions and the corporate open border caucus do. and
4) While this voting block may not be able to affect primary vote via well funded challengers. It will be there for the general election, and the most motivated portions of this block are Republicans wanting to punish "traitors"

A wipe out of sitting Republican senators may be in the offing in 2008.


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  • Jeff: How about "NOMAS!" -- No More Amnesty, Stupid! read more
  • PD Shaw: I agree with Mark B in agreeing partially with TOC. read more
  • Mark Buehner: I agree with every point except number 1. A wall read more

Sorry, Been Busy

By Armed Liberal at 01:33

Grad.JPG

Sunday is Biggest Guy's graduation at UVA. It's family time this week.

I'll try and pop by, but do me a favor - try not to kill anyone or blow anything up while I'm away.

Go Hoooos!! Or something like that...


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  • M. Simon: When i was 5 I lived in Charlottesville. Our house read more
  • TK: Congratulate him for me...my how time flies! It seems just read more
  • Glen Wishard: Congratulations. My father didn't come to my graduation. Probably because read more

May 16, 2007

IF I WERE A COPT

By Tarek Heggy at 09:29

"If I were a Copt, I would flood Egypt, and the world, with the facts about the overall atmosphere that is pressuring the Copts in Egypt today.


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  • Amal Mahmoud: If i were a "copt" though i dont consider this read more
  • solace: Always have the goal for victory. We should not consider read more
  • Tom: If I were a Copt, I'd build the richest family read more

Must soldiers forgive the enemy?

By Donald Sensing at 03:17

Combat and the problem of forgiveness

For someone who professes to follow Jesus Christ, or at least follow his teachings, the subject of forgiveness is probably one of the most vexing. Jesus taught plainly that his followers are obligated to forgive, for example, “For if you forgive others their trespasses, your heavenly Father will also forgive you; but if you do not forgive others, neither will your Father forgive your trespasses” (Mt. 6:14-15).

If, in combat, an enemy takes the life of your best friend, or blows off your leg, and if you think of yourself as a disciple of Jesus Christ, are you required to forgive that enemy? Is a Christian soldier required by the commandments of Christ to forgive those who have sought to kill him, or who have killed or wounded his comrades?

More thoughts about this over at www.donaldsensing.com

Update: See also, "Forgiveness, Justice and Hate," by Joe Katzman (August 2003) , who presents some Jewish perspectives.


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  • Brian Macker: Oh, and by the way, the bible contradicts both Sensing read more
  • Brian Macker: I would also like to point out that this entire read more
  • Brian Macker: Celebrim, "BM: You are mostly demonstrating your own ignorance of read more

May 15, 2007

"Supporting" the troops---or patronizing them?

By neo at 22:33

The Democrats in Congress---and the few Republicans who agree with them---who've been pushing for a troop withdrawal continue to maintain that what they're proposing is not only in the best interests of the American people, but it's in the best interests of the troops themselves.

That would appear to be a no-brainer: surely the best way to protect the troops is to put them out of harm's way, and that means their leaving Iraq and coming back home where they belong.

But what do the troops serving in Iraq think about it all? Sometimes I'm convinced that the aforementioned Congressional members don't really much care about the answer to that question.


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  • Nortius Maximus: We're trying to play political checkers here and you're pissing read more
  • Treefrog: Err, that should have read, 'the right calls the left read more
  • Treefrog: Neoneo's use of unsubstantiated quotes is a good example of read more

May 14, 2007

Beyond Stupid

By Armed Liberal at 19:45

Look, I'm the guy who thinks that we need to get kids thinking about how to react to horribly bad events - including school shooters - and I'd fire the clowns who initiated this:

Staff members of an elementary school staged a fictitious gun attack on students during a class trip, telling them it was not a drill as the children cried and hid under tables.

The mock attack Thursday night was intended as a learning experience and lasted five minutes during the weeklong trip to a state park, said Scales Elementary School Assistant Principal Don Bartch, who led the trip.

A tactical trainer who did something like that would be justifiably put out of business. May I suggest that other assistant principals who think that training is a good idea - which is the one thing Mr. Bartch ought to get credit for as he faces his well-deserved discipline and firing - go out and talk to people who teach this stuff for a living. IMPACT, and of the major shooting schools, or even local police (although they will by policy have to be very restrained in what they suggest).

Stupid, stupid, stupid. No excuse imaginable.


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  • viccol: Runescape is a great mmorpg game, so we supply RuneSenjoy read more
  • lurker: NahnCee, I have no clue what you are talking about read more
  • chew2: CNN Looks more and more like a scary story prank read more

Attaboy to Kevin Drum

By Armed Liberal at 16:16

Kevin picks up on the same AP story I commented on, and his closing line is hard to improve on:

...that leaves us with the biggest provision of all: disclosure of bundling. The American League of Lobbyists is dead set against it, which is no surprise, since this is a prime loophole that allows special interests to funnel vast sums of money to politicians without ever being identified. Apparently, though, it's become so radioactive that Dem leaders are planning to drop it entirely, promising that they'll allow it to come up later as a separate bill. Sure they will.

Come on, folks: show some spine. If Democrats want people to believe that there's really a difference between the two parties, then show them there's a difference. Put the bundling provision back in and give it a vote. It's the right thing to do.


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Muslims' Need for Modern Men of Religion

By Tarek Heggy at 12:28

After reading my critiques of the educational and intellectual backgrounds of Muslim men of religion, one of my readers asked me about whom I see worthy of being religious scholars. In my response to the reader's inquiry, I told her that I have tackled this issue in many of my books. However, I will be pleased to give a brief statement about my perspective regarding this point.


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  • Fletcher Christian: Tina: The distinction is that the Jewish tradition does not read more
  • yankeewombat: I did not realize that there had been this ceasing read more
  • Tina: Therefore, Muslims are living in a status quo environment where read more

May 13, 2007

If You Can't Argue, Can You At Least Read?

By Armed Liberal at 16:42

Alicublog linked over to my Iraq post and commented:

So if I stand here (jumps left) I will have to make harder choices tomorrow, and if I stand here (jumps right) I will have to make harder choices tomorrow. So where do I have to stand to avoid making harder choices tomorrow? Nowhere, my friend; nowhere. (laughs, smokes a cigar like Michael Dunn at the end of Ship of Fools.)

All things being equal, I think we should get the hell out of Iraq.

Well, yeah - if all things were equal, I'd say let's get out of Iraq this afternoon...but might I suggest an argument as to why the hard choices tomorrow will be just as hard if we stay as if we go? My side has made a lot of them about why they will be harder...but Roy, like all the Netroots Pioneers of the Left...seems to think that argument is beneath him.

Reading is apparently as well, because in the same post, he slags Redstate for 'declaring war' on the GOP leadership. If he'd bothered to read the whole post at Redstate (I had it tagged to do a post about it...) he'd have seen that the conservative site is pissed off at the GOP leadership for appointing a corrupt (Republican!) Representative to a leadership position.

I would fell swoon to think that my fellow Democratic bloggers would be as bold. But I must have missed the Netroots Pioneer outrage over the walkback from fighting the "Culture of Corruption". After all - that sweet lobbyist money can be spent on Democratic Internet coordinators, and left blogads. so it will help support the Netroots!! And how can anything be bad that makes sure Matt Stoller has a fast pipe and a comfy chair??


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  • Eric Chen: Apologies. Obviously, I suck at links. read more
  • Eric Chen: Angelsayshimrsilton: "Firstly, leadership is obviously a hard position, but to read more
  • Dave Schuler: And how can anything be bad that makes sure read more

May 12, 2007

The Battle of Karachi

By Nitin Pai at 13:54

It's the anniversary of the 1857 uprising after all

Altaf Hussain's Muttahida Quami Movement (MQM) party rules the streets of Karachi. It also runs the provincial government of Sindh province for Gen Musharraf. Its hold over Karachi is such that it does not really need to throw in its lot with Gen Musharraf as he fights his own citizens. That it has done so---and in such a brazen manner---suggests that it has hopes or promises of being part of the ruling establishment beyond the scheduled elections later this year.

For the time being though, it appears that it has badly miscalculated. Last week it forced cable operators off the air in order to prevent them from broadcasting live scenes of Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry's rally in Lahore. Yesterday, it ensured that key roads and thoroughfares of Karachi were blocked, using trucks and vehicles to prevent the flow of traffic. Unknown gunmen shot at the residence of a leading lawyer representing the Chief Justice in his legal battle against the Musharraf regime. The official authorities, who too take orders from the MQM, did what they could to ensure that pro-Chief Justice activists and ordinary people were intimidated, while the MQM went about holding its own rally.

And today, MQM marksmen shot at the crowds.


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  • J Aguilar: Realizing what you don't know is indeed a step forward read more
  • Wastelandlive: A couple of wire articles about rioting, police action, people read more
  • J Aguilar: Thank you for keeping us informed of these developments. read more

May 11, 2007

Posted Without Comment

By Armed Liberal at 23:45

From AP:

WASHINGTON (AP) House Democrats are suddenly balking at the tough lobbying reforms they touted to voters last fall as a reason for putting them in charge of Congress.

Now that they are running things, many Democrats want to keep the big campaign donations and lavish parties that lobbyists put together for them. They're also having second thoughts about having to wait an extra year before they can become high-paid lobbyists themselves should they retire or be defeated at the polls.


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  • mark: A.L., yes they do. they seem to be systemicaly skeptical read more
  • Armed Liberal: LOL - good one, mark. I do think AP has read more
  • mark: A.L., I am sorry but I cannot resist this cheap read more

Iraq

By Armed Liberal at 05:53

Mohammed Fadhil, Iraq the Model blogger and my friend, writes a crie de coeur about the impact of abandoning Iraq:

And so, my friends, I will call for fighting this war just as powerfully as the bad guys do - because I must show them that I'm stronger than they are. The people of America need to understand this: the enemies of a stable Iraq are America's enemies, and they simply do not understand the language of civilization and reason.

They understand only power. It is wileth power they took over their countries and held their peoples hostage. Everything they accomplished was through absolute control over the assets of their nations through murder, torture, repression and intimidation.

Go read the whole thing.

One reason why I initially supported and still support the war is simply because I believe that we are fighting for the decent people like Mohammed and his family. Dentists and doctors, people who simply want to make their country one where their children can grow up with hope and an unblighted future.


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  • piboulder: Many liberals are under the misguided belief that we can read more
  • toc: WE HAVE TO STAY BECAUSE WE CAN'T LEAVE. Think about read more
  • ricg: If it is largely about perceptions (and I think it read more

May 9, 2007

Graphics Help Bleg

By Armed Liberal at 20:00

I'm setting up the new site for Victory PAC and need some small graphics help. Anyone Photoshop or Illustrator-savvy and with a better eye than mine willing to donate some time? Email me....


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  • jfd: didja get my more detailed email? I'm interested... read more

Starbucks' comments - good or bad for business?

By Donald Sensing at 16:32

I have written before that I consider Starbucks coffee a rather poor brew. I buy a cup from an SB joint only in extremis, maybe twice per year. The Publix grocery near us sells Starbucks bagged coffee and very occasionally I buy whole-bean Sumatran coffee when I'm not able to roast my own beans for some reason. Like now - both my roasters are broken. One started spewing sparks as I was roasting last night and I dropped the glass roasting chamber of the other a couple of days ago and broke it. The replacement hasn't arrived.

Starbucks has apparently started a new business venture: ticking off its customers not merely with its crummy coffee, but with the cup the crummy coffee comes in. The Tennessean reports in, "I'll have some atheism in my coffee," in its "community views" section:
If you have not heard by now, a woman in Ohio recently purchased a cup of coffee from Starbuck’s that had this statement on its cup “Why in moments of crisis do we ask God for strength and help? As cognitive beings, why would we ask something that may well be a figment of our imaginations for guidance? Why not search inside ourselves for the power to overcome? After all, we are strong enough to cause most of the catastrophes we need to endure.” Funny but I do not remember seeing any bible verses on any of its cups over the past few years. Now I can’t say that I ever look at those statements but rest assured if there had been a bible verse we would have heard about it from the ACLU. It seems as if the name of God is welcome as long as it is taken in vain or is of a deragatory nature. Starbucks claims that its “the way I see it campagin” is not necessarily its views. However, as a business your promotions and actions as a company are your views, otherwise you would not publish them. ...
Exactly. So even though I have no way at present to roast my own coffee, mayhaps I won't buy Starbucks any more. There's no way that this international megacorporation will miss my patronage, which at best accounts for 0.00000000001% of its revenue. But doggone it, a man's gotta do what a man's gotta do. Lipton, anyone? However, it seems that Starbucks is an equal-opportunity insulter. There is a page on the company's web site where you can leave a comment about their comments. One cup series featured this (scroll down page):
The Way I See It #92

"You are not an accident. Your parents may not have planned you, but God did. He wanted you alive and created you for a purpose. Focusing on yourself will never reveal your purpose. You were made by God and for God, and until you understand that, life will never make sense. Only in God do we discover our origin, our identity, our meaning, our purpose, our significance, and our destiny."

-- Dr. Rick Warren
Author of The Purpose-Driven Life.

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  • evariste: As for Starbucks, they are accused of supporting Israel. That's read more
  • evariste: You know, I once went into a Caribou Coffee down read more
  • Clioman: I don't know much about Starbucks' politics, but I know read more

May 8, 2007

Herod's tomb found

By Donald Sensing at 21:44
The IHT:

An Israeli archaeologist on Tuesday said he has found the tomb of King Herod, the legendary builder of ancient Jerusalem and the Holy Land - a potentially major discovery that capped a 35-year quest for the researcher.

This is a major find indeed if it is confirmed. According to the Gospel of Matthew, Jesus was born during the reign of Herod and the gospel also says that Herod ordered the slaughter of every boy aged two years or less in an attempt to snuff out Jesus' life. By then, however, Jesus and his parents had moved to Egypt.

Herod is a very significant figure in the history of the Jews and the Jewish nation. Herod ruled the Roman province of Judea, corresponding roughly to the old Jewish kingdom of Judah. The Romans did not rule Judea directly until after Herod's death. Herod was a very brutal king, not hesitating to have executed even some of his own sons when he thought they were plotting to dethrone him. Caesar Augustus then remarked that it was better to be Herod's pigs than his sons. Herod ordered several major building projects in Jerusalem and Judah, many of which survive today.

The Herod whose tomb is claimed found is not the same man who refused to judge the grown Jesus and sent him back to Pontius Pilate. That was Herod Antipas, son of the Herod referenced in the find.


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  • smokeandashes: There has also been some scientific exploration of possible "reasons" read more
  • PD Shaw: There is also the alternative translation: "Where is the one read more

Summer School

By Armed Liberal at 04:43

So Littlest Guy is going to take a class with the Johns Hopkins Center for Talented Youth this summer. They just sent us a list of the other kids in his session, to facilitate carpooling. It's fascinating reading.

The kids are from Hsin Chu, Taiwan and Wichita Falls, Kansas and Bell Gardens (a relatively poor - median income $36K to Los Angeles County's $51K - 90% Hispanic community here is Los Angeles).

The names are a true rainbow - Patel, Hsu, Flores, Apolaya, Ivanova, Mecom, Klein, Kawananakoa, Yu, Suh, Chipman.

Unsurprisingly, most of the kids (44%) have Asian surnames. But equally unsurprisingly, in the face of the wide perception that the schools serving Latino neighborhoods here in Los Angeles are substandard, 18% of the kids have Hispanic surnames.

I think LG is going to have to work his a** off to keep up. I kind of like that idea...


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  • Armed Liberal: Juris - obviously, I need to go to summer school read more
  • Eric Chen: I did CTY at Dickinson College, PA back in '89. read more
  • Sayhar: CTY is amazingly fun. I'm glad that you decided to read more

In the driveway...

By Armed Liberal at 04:11


Tiger.JPG

...gonna be fun. We've shelved 'Tammany' as a name, and are going with 'Montecore.' One hopes it will serve as a reminder that it has fangs and claws, and that I treat it with appropriate care.


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  • David Blue: Excellent! Ride safely, ride long, and live it up on read more
  • Armed Liberal: Oh, and I took it for the 1st real ride read more
  • Armed Liberal: No, "Monticore" as in Siegfried & Roy (or 'snack' as read more

Ali, Ali Oxen Free

By Armed Liberal at 03:46

Ali Eteraz, a Muslim commentator who is close to the epicenter of where Islamic thought in the West ought to be, and who is consistently interesting, is interesting again today.

I always considered myself a humanist and do still. It just cannot be the case that only one 'side' of a political divide have a monopoly on humanism. I know for a fact that Isaiah Berlin would not exactly be welcome in some parts of the left; nor Solzhenitsyn. [I also know that Burke would be ridiculed in some parts of the right]. I cannot in clean conscience engage against religious supremacism and exclusion if I engage in ideological supremacism and exclusion.

I believe in human solidarity. In the elimination of cruelty and humiliation. I believe in living beyond labels and identity markers.

Welcome to the muddle in the middle, Ali. Come pull up a comfortable chair and I'll pour the drinks.


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  • mark: BM, (& Fred) Sorry, as I said, I am away read more
  • Fred: Stale thread, so I'll probably not get a response BUT read more
  • BM: Mark, are you still monitoring this? If not I'll not read more

Watch This Space

By Armed Liberal at 02:10

Over at liberal security site Democracyarsenal, guest blogger David Schanzer posts 'Game On Now For National Security Debate'.

Unfortunately, the Democratic frontrunners did little to dispel this notion during the first presidential candidates' debate. Obama chose to talk about the Hurricane Katrina response when asked the first thing he would do after a terrorist attack on U.S. soil And, when Brian Williams served up the Giuliani quotes on a silver platter to Clinton, she did not discuss how to defeat al Qaeda or combat the spread of the global jihadist movement, but instead expounded on the virtues of greater port and subway security.

This isn't going to cut it in a general election. Because of the still lingering security gap Democrats face, progressives cannot wait until the general election to start speaking convincingly about the threats the nation faces and how to deal with them. Promising to end the Iraq war (as if that could actually be accomplished), will not necessarily be enough to defeat a Republican opponent who is not Bush and will most certainly have his own plan to wind down the war.

Now is the time to get our game day faces on for the national security debate. And we will have to do better than our congressional leaders and presidential candidates have done in this regard since the election. In my posts over the next three weeks, I'll be discussing some ideas about what I think progressives ought to be saying to prevail in this debate.

I'll be checking back there and reading his posts with interest. Of course, he's tagged as a 'concern troll' in the second paragraph. That alone may be reason to support him. I'm looking forward to his posts, and to engaging him in what I hope will be a useful and interesting discussion.


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  • M. Simon: Uh. Progressives? You have to be kidding me. Socialism is read more
  • Glen Wishard: mark:Your claim that Islamists have a choice between violence and read more
  • Achillea: Are we going to tell anybody about this, or are read more

May 7, 2007

Back From D.C.

By Armed Liberal at 04:25

Up too damn early this morning (I keep CA time when I take short trips East) and into a cab from Alexandria to Dulles. But my day got off to a great start in talking to the cabdriver, an Ethiopian immigrant who's been here for 16 years and brought his five kids over.

They're quite a burden on our economy - four have graduated college, one will graduate from Rutgers next year, three of them own their own businesses and all of them seem well launched in the world. He's incredibly proud of hem - as he ought to be - they don't smoke, don't dance, drink only a little, and work very damn hard - as he put it. He's homesick for Ethiopia, but admits that he's "an American now." And welcome...

That was kind of the tone of the whole trip for me. Meeting and talking to all kinds of really smart and interesting people.

On a meta level, the issue of the milblogs as a tool for exposing more of the story about the war than is seen in the MSM continues to grow. It's apparent that the military is locked in an internal struggle between those who see the milblogs as a valuable voice in the information war, and those who are afraid of losing message control because of them.

I deal with the exact same issue pretty much every day in my job, and one of the things I drill home is that you - the corporate, government, military you - has lost control of your message. It is being remixed, commented, critiqued, and flamed out in the Internets, and if those critiques, comments, or flames have any merit - they will get picked up an amplified.

So the answer is (to quote Von Riper again) to be "in command but out of control" - to influence and shape the dialog by participating in it, and realizing that while you may have the largest megaphone but not the only one. At some point the military leadership will get a clue...from talking to Blackfive, it sounds like it's happening sooner rather than later. The fact that President Bush recorded a message which opened the conference may be a clue as well.

But an amazing crew, and a few takeaways...

Soldiers Angels, Soldiers Angels, Soldiers Angels. Sign up, give money, do something. If you support the war or hate it, this incredible group of people is doing amazing work in supporting the troops in the most direct way possible.

Lots of good feedback on Victory PAC - we ought to be official, and have a bank account next week and everything. Let's see what comes of it, and have some fun. If I can get Blackfive, John from Castle Arrgh and Noah Shachtman of Wired to think it's a good idea - it's probably a good idea.

Oh, and I picked up the Tiger...(very big grin!)


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  • davod: Even if the comments have no merit, the will be read more
  • David Blue: "Oh, and I picked up the Tiger...(very big grin!)" And read more

May 5, 2007

Say what?

By Donald Sensing at 22:43
Consider:
CAMBRIDGE, Mass. - Former President Bill Clinton said Friday that disasters such as worldwide famine and an obesity epidemic could destroy the U.S. health care system unless politicians begin to look ahead and cooperate.
Doesn't famine pretty much rule out an "obesity epidemic?" And doesn't an obesity epidemic indicate that famine is not exactly a problem? And don't get me started on the possibility of politicans beggining "to look ahead and cooperate."
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  • kieth Nissen: Amen to mark and alchemist. I see no contradiction in read more
  • mark: Glen, I'm not sure you read my post...or for that read more
  • alchemist: Glen, did you bother to read my post? Maybe I read more

Spiderman 3 entertains but disappoints

By Donald Sensing at 16:47
With its general release occurring yesterday, Spiderman 3 has set an opening day domestic record for box office revenues, $59 million, passing previous record holder Pirates of the Caribbean 2 by about $4 million.
In addition, Sony estimated that SM3 grossed approximately $104 million worldwide yesterday, the highest single day gross in global box office history. The film delivered $45 million Friday in overseas ticket sales. This opening weekend, SM3 will definitely make more than SM1 ($114.8 mil) or SM2 ($88.1 mil) at U.S. theaters.
Well, I did my part to help SM3 set the record. We caught a 4:45 p.m. showing yesterday. The theater was about three-quarters full.

It seems obvious that SM3 is intended to be the last of the series. All the loose ends of its predecessors' are tied up and there is really nowhere else to go for the romance between Peter Parker/Spiderman and Mary Jane.

And therein lies the movie's glaring flaw: too much being done in one flick. One of the antagonists is the Sandman. After his first encounter with the villain, Spiderman swings to a building top and asks, "Where are all these guys coming from?" Trust me, you'll ask the same question long before the movie is over. Sandman is only one of three - count 'em, three - villains with super powers in SM3.


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read the rest! »

  • David Blue: Because of all the money it is making, maybe Spider-Man read more
  • David Blue: I agree that Tobey Maguire as a Darker Parker was read more
  • David Blue: Spider-Man 3 was very good, but only about 90% of read more

My Alexandria

By Armed Liberal at 00:54

I'm in Alexandria VA, at the 2007 Milblogs conference chatting with folks about Victory PAC and our information war. I'm really looking forward to meeting all these folks, and some other folks in DC. I'll try and do some kind of report on the way home.


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  • Eric Chen: I look forward to the report and reading about implementable read more
  • Grim: I trust that any military officials who turned up this read more
  • Cannoneer No. 4: Grim, I hope you have somebody who was there lined read more

May 4, 2007

Olmert out, Netanyahu in?

By Donald Sensing at 04:01

I mentioned on May 1 that Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert would be driven from office because of his government's mismanagement of last summer's Lebanon war, a prediction I first made on Aug. 11. In the August post I also predicted former PM Benjamin Netanyahu would re-assume the office, which in the months since then has seemed like a real long shot.

But maybe not any longer. Israeli reporter Shmuel Rosner, writing in Slate, asks what comes next for the embattled Olmert government and Israel's future in the wake of the Winograd report, which harshly criticized Olmert et. al. for their bungling on the war.
Three possible outcomes can be imagined, since the demand—from both the public and from fellow politicians—that Olmert should resign is getting hard to ignore:

1. Olmert is forced out, the ruling coalition dismantles, and a date for new elections—probably this fall—is set. In the meantime, an interim government, headed by another coalition member—perhaps the tireless Shimon Peres or Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni—is established.

2. Olmert is replaced by someone else from his coalition, without a date for new elections. No one believes such a coalition could survive for very long.

3. Olmert survives as the coalition partners eventually reach the conclusion that they will lose power if new elections are called.

New elections would give Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu a chance to become prime minister again, since he is leading in all polls. ...
Still not the most likely outcome, but one that can't be held as unlikely any more.
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  • Trent Telenko: Donald, In Israel, always bet on corruption. See below: ======================= read more
  • Andrew J. Lazarus: I don't think Bibi's prospects are that good, no matter read more
  • John Ryan: At the time of the invasion it was heralded by read more

French troops targeted Israeli aircraft

By Donald Sensing at 03:38
French "peacekeeping" forces in southern Lebanon were "within two seconds" of firing antiaircraft missiles at Israeli fighter jets that overflew French positions.
In the most serious confrontation, French troops were said by sources in Paris to have been "just two seconds" from launching an anti- aircraft missile at two Israeli F-15 fighters carrying out mock low-level attack runs over one outpost. As this was happening, a pair of Israeli reconnaissance aircraft circled over the headquarters of the French battalion in the Jabal Maroun area, possibly taking aerial photographs there.
However, the French general in charge of UN forces in southern Lebanon will be replaced next month by an Italian. The Israelis are happy about that.

I wrote last month about an incident of the IAF intercepting a Continental Airlines flight and coming close to shooting it down.

In other news, the sentiment against Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is mounting rapidly. One hundred thousand people demonstrated against Olmert in Tel Aviv today.


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  • J Aguilar: chew2 That is a continuing violation of Lebanese sovereignty LOL read more
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May 3, 2007

Somehow, This Sums Up My Mood Today...

By Armed Liberal at 17:06


Bizarro.gif

One thing I miss about the LA Times is the funnies.

I finally broke down and subscribed to DailyINK, the King Features comics service...it'll be great.


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Why Barak Obama Needs To Study With Paul Van Riper

By Armed Liberal at 03:06

Update: Apologies to the commenters - I deleted the wrong extra copy of the post, and it took your comments with it. I'll see if I can recover them.

Van Riper is the author of one of my favorite phrases - "in command and out of control" - which defines the kind of management style that community-based enterprises require.

Obama's campaign tripped pretty hard this week when they forcibly evicted a volunteer who had - over two+ years and on his own dime - built the unofficial Obama MySpace page into one with 160,000 friends.

The story is pretty well told over at Micah Sifry's blog.

There's an astounding amount of vituperation aimed at the volunteer - a L.A. paralegal named Joe Anthony - in the comments and on the blogs.

There's also a strong thread of anger at Obama's campaign.

From my POV it would have been an easy problem to solve - assign a junior staffer to work with Anthony and assist with the workload (he's got a day job, and running a site that popular starts burning hours), give him invites to some high-roller events here and a chance to have coffee with the Senator...et la, problem solved.

Instead, the campaign has bout itself far more than $44,000 worth of negative publicity, which was amateurish and stupid.

And we learn that in spite of the communitarian face on modern campaigns, they are still probably too centrally run. The problem, of course, is how to combine the 'do your own thing' ethos of Campaign 2.0 with the media microscope. A two-pipe problem, but one that could have been easily avoided here.

I've complimented Obama in the past, but no points to his team for this one, I'm afraid...


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May 2, 2007

It takes two sides to end a war

By Donald Sensing at 20:25

Just now House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said on TV, in response to the veto of the Iraq spending bill by President Bush, "The Democrats are committed to ending this war." Immediately afterward, Senate majority leader Harry Reid reemphasized that the Democrats' goal is "to end the war."

Note that they are not committed to winning the war, just "ending" it. Reid is still speaking as I write and his mantra seems to be "ending the war," which he's said several times. Wait, Pelosi again, "we have to end the war."

This is just stunning. Neither of these tiny lights of American politics (nor their colleagues) seem to recognize that just as it takes two sides to wage war, it takes two sides to end it. The Democrats think they can end the war simply by packing the troops up and bringing them home.

Is it possible for two such prominent politicians to be that stupid?

1. The war will not end in Iraq just because US troops evacuate. The insurgencies will continue more intensely. The power vacuum created by American departure will have to be filled by someone. Iran is already operating inside Iraq; we can expect their presence there to climb dramatically if the US packs up and leaves. Many knowledgeable observers say there is a real risk that Saudi Arabia will send troops into Iraq to protect Iraqi Sunnis from the Shias and their Iranian sponsors. This is a recipe for a regional war that no one wants, even Iran.

2. The enemy of the United States in Iraq is not really either Shia or Sunni militias. It is al Qaeda. Al Qaeda will not agree that the war is "ended" just because Pelosi and Reid say so. They will absolutely see the Democrat-envisioned withdrawal of US troops as a stunning victory on their part. But, in al Qaeda's mind, it will not be a fin de la guerre victory. It will be a victory that will embolden them to intensify their offensive operations against the West.

The Democrats' plan to "end the war" is really a plan to prolong it, increase its violence and bloodshed and raise the probability that the war will be brought to our shores in ways and lethality we cannot yet foresee.


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  • karl: Yes, despite Gates, Rice, and the President "warning" the Iraqi read more
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May 1, 2007

Israel's Olmert hanging on, barely

By Donald Sensing at 01:54

Last summer, Israel invaded southern Lebanon in response to Hezbollah's cross-border kidnapping of Israeli soldiers and the murder of others. I did a lot of posting about the war as it progressed. "Progress" is an inapt word to use, though, since the IDF contended not only with its Hezbollah enemy, but a ham-handed and militarily inexperienced political leadership in the persons of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and Defense Minister Amir Peretz.

On Aug. 11, I wrote,
Ehud Olmert's days are numbered as prime minister. The slapdash, haphazard and wholly indecisive way he has handled the Hezbollah war has doomed his chances of remaining in office past the end of this year, probably before then and maybe very soon.
Well, obviously, PM Olmert is still in office, so I mis-predicted (I've just invented a Bushism!) Olmert's demise. But maybe only as a matter of time rather than fact.
JERUSALEM (AP) - A government commission that probed Israel's summer war against Hezbollah guerrillas in Lebanon accused Prime Minister Ehud Olmert on Monday of "severe failure," saying he hastily led the country into the conflict without a comprehensive plan.

A copy of the report obtained by The Associated Press cited a "severe failure in the lack of judgment, responsibility and caution." ...

According to TV reports confirmed by Israeli officials, the commission appointed by Olmert and chaired by a retired judge, Eliyahu Winograd, aims withering criticism at Olmert and Peretz over their decision- making, inexperience and failure to question plans presented by the military. ...

The Winograd panel does not have the authority to fire officials, but the scathing report could ignite public protests and demonstrations, coupled with political infighting, that could force the resignation of Olmert and Peretz. Noisy public demonstrations were expected to back demands that they step down.

Already Sunday, a demand their for resignations came from Labor Party lawmaker Ofir Pines-Paz, who is challenging Peretz for party leadership in a May primary election.

"They should follow the example of Halutz, who did not wait for the Winograd commission to show him the door," he said.

Opposition lawmakers from the dovish Meretz as well as the hard-line National Religious Party also called for the government to step down.
Stay tuned.

Update: Reuters: "Israeli media predicts Olmert resignation."


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