Associated Press Baghdad Bureau Chief Robert Reid and his chief military reporter Robert Burns published a dispatch from Iraq over the weekend that should have made banner headlines. “It's not the end of fighting,” they wrote. “It looks like the beginning of a perilous peace.” This is exactly right, but millions of Americans still have no idea. Coverage from Iraq has diminished as much as the casualty rates since General David Petraeus implemented an effective counterinsurgency strategy in early 2007. At least we’re finally seeing a media consensus emerge after a year and a half of looking at the data as though it were inkblots on a Rorschach. It’s nearly impossible to work in Iraq anymore and deny what has happened.
Even so, this is no time to get recklessly drunk on victory and declare “mission accomplished.” Nor is this the time to bolt for the exits from an unpopular war. The peace, as Burns and Reid say, is perilous and only just now beginning. The war is still not actually even over, though the fighting has been greatly reduced. Every single last inch of progress can be reversed. Keeping the relative peace will be just as difficult, though less dangerous, than making it in the first place. “[J]udging from the security gains that have been sustained over the first half of this year,” they wrote, “as the Pentagon withdrew five Army brigades sent as reinforcements in 2007 — the remaining troops could be used as peacekeepers more than combatants.”
That’s basically already happening. The transformation of American soldiers and Marines from counterinsurgent combatants to peacekeepers has taken place all over Iraq. In fact, the most radical of General Petraeus’s strategic overhaul was the positioning of troops as peacekeepers and the defenders of Iraqi civilians before the fighting even abated. That is what brought so many Iraqis over to the American side. Some places in Iraq were so horrifically violent that nothing resembling a normal life was even possible until someone stepped in to provide basic security. Al Qaeda in Iraq and Moqtada al Sadr’s Mahdi Army militia weren’t going to do it. They were the groups that threatened Iraqi security. And the Iraqi Army and Iraqi Police were too under trained, under equipped, understaffed, and corrupt to do it themselves.
Read the rest in COMMENTARY Magazine.
TAP hosts a roundtable on the importance of the surge.
There's a fairly wide range of opinions there, mostly based on the [preset position] + "but who can say?" view of historical analysis.
I'll add one notion, just for consideration. In my own experience as a poker player, and in my limited reading on the thinking of negotiators and military tacticians - none of which I'll claim to be expert in - there's a common tactic, the "bump".
When I want to signal to other players that "I'm not going anywhere" it's useful to do two things - buy more chips, and push some chips forward on the table. Similar signaling works in negotiation, and I'm confident that it works in military tactics as well.
Lots of Iraqis had to decide this year which side they were going to come down on. It seems obvious to me that the relative commitment of the US is one key factor that drove their thinking. If you're confident that the US is short-timing, then siding with pro-US Iraqi factions probably seems like a path to a painful and bloody death. We sent a successful signal - both by being willing to remake our strategy and by raising troop levels, and that signal allowed people to make decisions feeling like they're doing so with some promise of protection by our armed forces.
Somehow that seems obvious to me - am I missing something?
This isn't the time for political positioning, but the demented right-wing mucker who walked into a UU church during a children's play and killed two appears to have given off a lot of signals that he had some pretty serious problems.

I met Shpetim Mahmudi at a covered outdoor cafe on a cold day in late spring in the ethnic Albanian region of Macedonia. Black clouds hung low over the city of Tetovo. Fat rain drops pelted the sidewalk and the awning over my head as I shivered in my light black leather jacket. “Let's go inside,” he said, “where it's warmer and drier.” We found a table and ordered coffee. He leaned in close to whisper when the waiter stepped out of earshot. “We are really in trouble here,” he said. “We are really in trouble with the Wahhabis.”
After the Kosovo War ended in 1999, well-heeled Gulf Arabs with Saudi money moved in to rebuild mosques destroyed by Slobodan Milosevic's Yugoslav army and paramilitary forces. They're still there trying to impose a stern Wahhabi interpretation of Islam on indigenous Europeans, and they're having an awfully difficult time getting much traction. Almost everyone in Kosovo despises these people. They are known as the Binladensa, the people of Osama bin Laden.
Things are different in next-door Macedonia. I had driven two hours from Kosovo's capital Prishtina through beautifully sculpted mountains and forest to Tetovo near the Kosovo and Albanian borders.
What I saw there was startling.
Kosovo is a Muslim-majority country. Macedonia isn't. Only a third of Macedonia's people are Muslims. Most Muslims in both countries are ethnic Albanians, but the difference between the two came like a shock – and not in the way you might expect. Aside from the mosque minarets, Kosovo doesn't look or feel like a Muslim country at all. Its culture and politics are thoroughly secular, and its believers are not demonstrative about their religion. A huge number of people in Tetovo, though, looked like they had been airlifted in from the Middle East.
I spent three weeks in Kosovo and saw no more than one or two women each day wearing a hijab – an Islamic headscarf – over their hair.
In Macedonia I saw dozens wearing a hijab in just ten minutes while driving to the cafe to meet Shpetim Mahmudi. I even saw a handful of women wearing an all-enveloping black abaya -- the closest thing the Arab world has to a burkha.
I never once saw one of those in Kosovo, not even in villages. As soon as I crossed the border into Macedonia, I felt like I had been whisked through a hole in the dimension from southeastern Europe to somewhere in Arabia.
Read the rest at MichaelTotten.com
I'm still standing fast on the idiocy of Tony Pierce's email, but I have to go on record for a second and ask one question - if the Enquirer has the goods on Edwards from his little Beverly Hills soiree...where are the pictures?
Until they are out, the story will smell quite a bit like cat food to me, because if the Enquirer folks were there, and they saw what they claimed to see ... there are pictures ... so, Enquirer - where are they?
I'm just back from an all-day ride to Jocko's, home of the best steaks in California, and packing to head to Chicago for a few days next week.
I'm free Weds night, and open to doing a meetup somewhere in the west suburbs (think the junction of the Eisenhower and the Tri-State). Email me at the address in the sidebar if interested, or if you have s suggestion for an interesting place to meet and eat near there.
As recently as the first half of 2007, the idea of an American victory in Iraq seemed like a fantasy to just about everyone, including me. General David Petraeus surged additional troops to Iraq, however, and he transformed the joint American-Iraqi counterinsurgency strategy into what nearly all observers now acknowledge is a remarkable and unexpected success. Few bother to argue otherwise anymore. What remains ambiguous and contested is the definition of an American victory.
It’s slightly tricky for a couple of reasons. Pinpointing the exact date when a counterinsurgency ends – not just in Iraq, but any counterinsurgency – is impossible. There are no final battles. There can’t be. And if we don’t know when the war is over, it can be difficult to figure out what over even means in the first place. So how will we know if we’ve won?
Part of the problem here is that the war in Iraq is usually thought of as a single war in Iraq. But there have been at least three wars in Iraq since 2003 – the U.S.-led war against Saddam Hussein’s Baath Party regime, the civil war between Sunni and Shia militias, and the insurgencies against government and international forces waged by a constellation of guerrilla and terrorist groups. All three wars are distinct from each other, and two of the three are already over.
The war against Saddam Hussein and his government ended when the regime was overthrown and what remained of its army was disbanded. You might say it didn’t officially end until he was captured in December of 2003, but he effectively lost when he was demoted from absolute dictator to fugitive. No matter what else might happen, Saddam Hussein will never be considered victorious.
Read the rest in COMMENTARY Magazine.
This is just too damn funny to pass up. Mickey Kaus (Mickey! permalinks, dammit!) shows up in my RSS feed (plus as a link in Instapundit) reprinting the following email from LA Times blog editor Tony Pierce:
From: "Pierce, Tony"Date: July 24, 2008 10:54:41 AM PDT
To: [XXX]
Subject: john edwards
Hey bloggers,
There has been a little buzz surrounding John Edwards and his alleged affair. Because the only source has been the National Enquirer we have decided not to cover the rumors or salacious speculations. So I am asking you all not to blog about this topic until further notified.
If you have any questions or are ever in need of story ideas that would best fit your blog, please don't hesitate to ask
Keep rockin,
Tony
Now this is funny as hell on any number of levels. The obvious one is that the newspaper of record believes that it must preclude writers working for it from covering a story - not set standards for how, not make sure that they added facts, not anything at all except gag them. That's wrong, simply put.
But coming from Tony Pierce, who appeared as the topic of a post here when he made wild fact-free accusations against Pajamas Media (where Insty posts now, completing the weird self-reflective nature of the whole thing) - well, that's just jam on my morning toast.
OK, so a few weeks ago we filed all the paperwork with Solar City. It appears that while we have bitchen' credit, you need really bitchen credit for the lease program, so they had to think about us for a while before we were approved for the program, which we were.
We've now scheduled a 'site audit' in which one of their people will come to the house and take measurements, etc. so they can design the system and prepare the drawings for the city building permit. I'll stop in at the City today and find out how challenging that will be (it's all part of the Solar City package, but if I can help smooth things along - why not?).
So August 5 is the site visit, and we expect to be in permitting several weeks after that...
...to be continued.
Iowahawk, standing outside a bar, talking seriously on his cell phone:
"Come with us and we'll show you the seedier side of Detroit..."
The alleged MS-13 member who was arrested for gunning down the father and his two sons in San Francisco wasn't in the forefront of Gavin Newsom's mind when it came time to make a statement about responsibility - the NRA was. Go to 2:10 in this news video...and take your blood pressure meds.
Now I'm willing to bet that the guy who was arrested (an illegal immigrant who had been previously arrested several times) probably couldn't have legally bought a gun. So all the restrictions on the ability of law-abiding citizens to buy guns would have done ... what, exactly, Mayor?
Patterico has been all over the issue of one issue that intersects our immigration policy - 'deport the criminals first'. Go read Justin's comments at Patterico on this one.
Newsom has shown great judgment all along - he did go to rehab after confessing an affair with the wife of his campaign manager (it's not the sex, it's the stupid recklessness of who it was with...). Great hair, though.
My checkbook and I'll be remembering this when the Gov's race comes along.
The NYT published an oped from Obama on his policies on Iraq.
Then they rejected a parallel one from McCain.
I had this image of the editorial conference room at the Times, and it was eerily like this...
Via Patti Anklam's blog 'Networks, Complexity, and Relatedness', we were infected with David Lazer's diffusion experiment...
[Addendum by Nortius: Mr Lazer credits Matthieu Latapy for the experiment, by the way.
If you have a website, you can participate-- you just need to click "spread it" below, enter your url, retrieve the code that will put the image you see below on your website (please, no trackbacks here or to Latapy's website, btw).
FYI, the image you see is the diffusion path of the code, which should change as it spreads.
So, viewers of WoC, do that from here if you wish.]

Around a thousand mujahideen, veteran Arabic fighters from the anti-Soviet insurgency in Afghanistan, showed up in Bosnia in the mid-1990s to fight a jihad against Serbian Orthodox Christians. They thought they would be welcomed, and they were right. The European community imposed an arms embargo on all of Yugoslavia during the Bosnian civil war which preserved the imbalance of power and arms in favor of Slobodan Milosevic and his nationalist Bosnian Serb comrades in arms. The Bosnian army was multi-ethnic and multi-confessional – it included Serb and Croat Christians as well as Bosniak Muslims – but its leaders chose to accept help from the so-called “Afghan Arabs” because they were desperate.
The radical Arab mujahideen matured slightly between the wars in Bosnia and Kosovo, and they probed the anti-Milosevic guerilla movement known as the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) to see if they could lend a hand there, as well. Kosovo, though, isn’t Bosnia. 90 percent of the population is ethnically Albanian, and most of them are at least nominally Muslims, but the KLA wasn’t too keen on throwing open the doors to their country to violent Middle Eastern fanatics. “In the two years that I covered the conflict in Kosovo,” journalist Stacy Sullivan wrote, “never once did I see the mujahideen fighters I saw in Bosnia, or hear KLA soldiers even allude to any kind of commitment to Islam. Most said they were offended by such allegations, bragged about how they were Catholic before the Ottomans came and converted them, and said their only religion was Albanianism.”
Even so, the likes of Al Qaeda wanted to “help.” Representatives of Osama bin Laden approached a Brooklyn man named Florin Krasniqi and said they wanted to send men into Kosovo to fight a jihad against Serbs.
Krasniqi is an Albanian-American roofer who ran what he called the Homeland Calling Fund to raise money for the KLA back home. He raised 30 million dollars from Albanian-Americans and sent cargo planes stocked full of weapons and uniforms from the United States to Northern Albania where the goods were then smuggled over the border into Kosovo. “We were approached by fundamentalist Muslims from every direction – Al Qaeda – but most of the leaders of the KLA just didn’t feel right about working with them,” he said to Dutch filmmaker Klaartje Quirijns in the documentary film The Brooklyn Connection. “I would have cooperated with the devil to free my country. I didn’t care who they were.” Later, he said he realized the KLA commanders were right to turn down help from Islamist extremists
And it’s a good thing they did, or Kosovo’s Islamist problem might be much more severe than it is.
The KLA may have refused entry into Kosovo to radical groups from the Middle East during the war, but that hasn’t stopped dubious characters from the Gulf states from showing up in Kosovo anyway since the war ended. Saudi-funded NGOs volunteered to help rebuild mosques destroyed by the Yugoslav Army and Serbian nationalist paramilitary forces, which is fine and good as far as it goes, but there’s a catch. The same individuals hope to transform Kosovo’s liberal Balkan Islam into the much sterner Wahhabi variety practiced in the harsh deserts of Saudi Arabia.
“We don't call them Wahhabis here,” a prominent Albanian woman told me. “We call them Binladensa, the people of Bin Laden.” Believe me, in Kosovo that isn’t a compliment.
Read the rest at MichaelTotten.com
Headed out in an hour to drive to the Bay Area and drop Littlest Guy off at CTY camp at Stanford. CTY has been a great (if $pendy) experience for him so far, and I'm looking forward to how he does this time.
I'm looking forward to walking him around the campus and saying "...if you work really hard in high school, you get to go to college at a place like this..."
I'll get to see Joe and Sweetie, some old (long-time!! long-time!!) friends and enjoy California from behind a windshield with air-conditioning, not a helmet visor and Camelbak...
...Random thoughts:
Saw Batman last night and will have some comments when I get stationary - it seemed actually very relevant to some issues that we discuss here. And yes, it's that good.
And it's interesting how events trump politics, and how the changes in Iraq have dramatically changed what Iraq means to the election.
And on a final note, I do worry more than a little about our putting too big a footprint into Afghanistan.
More on all those in the next few days.
The “March 14” movement is a political vehicle for Lebanon’s liberals, democrats, free-market capitalists, human rights activists, and those who want an exit from the seemingly endless war with the “Zionist entity.” Unfortunately, that is not all it is. It’s also a political vehicle for hard-line Sunni Arab Nationalists and other political retrogrades who only oppose Hezbollah and the Syrian Baath regime because they hate Shias and Alawites as much as they hate Jews.
My colleague Noah Pollak is rightly horrified by the death worship on display in Beirut this week after Israel released the child-murdering terrorist ghoul Samir Kuntar to Hezbollah in exchange for the dead bodies of two kidnapped soldiers. “Lebanon’s March 14th movement cast itself into an abyss of moral depravity that the bloc’s supporters — myself included — never thought possible,” he wrote. I’m sorry to say this--I’m a March 14 supporter, too--but I’m a bit less surprised, if not less repulsed, by this recent turn of events.
Such March 14 stalwarts as Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Seniora and Druze leader Walid Jumblatt participated in the gruesome festivities and gave Kuntar--who smashed in the head of a four year-old girl on a rock after murdering her father in front of her--a warm hero’s welcome.
I don’t know if Seniora and Jumblatt sincerely believe Kuntar is a hero for those deeds. Frankly, I doubt it. He won’t be joining the March 14 movement. There is no question that he belongs to the “March 8” bloc led by Hezbollah, and that he will be perfectly willing to murder the children of the “wrong” kind of Lebanese when civil and sectarian violence explodes in his country again.
But Seniora and Jumblatt feel they have to triangulate, so to speak, and publicly throw their support behind a man who is their enemy because he is also Israel’s enemy. Anti-Zionism trumps everything, even in Lebanon where the violent Jew-hatred endemic to the modern Middle East is weaker than it is most other places.
Read the rest in COMMENTARY Magazine.
I'm working on a long post on Obama, the risk of incoherent narrative, and why that incoherence matters more electorally than politically.
But it's late here in Chicago, I have an early flight, and I just read Memeorandum which sent me to Sean Tevis' cartoon explanation for why he wants $9.00 from each of us to help him run for the Kansas state legislature.
Here's what I like - the substance of his issues; the style with which he presents them; and the basic idea of someone who presents his thinking in a language different from the typical politician-speak our government is so tightly bound up by.
I donated $10.00 immediately. Why the h**l don't we have candidates like that at home in California? How do I help find one? Bueller?
Independent reporter Michael Yon has spent more time in Iraq embedded with combat soldiers than any other journalist in the world, and a few days ago he boldly declared the war over:
Barring any major and unexpected developments (like an Israeli air strike on Iran and the retaliations that would follow), a fair-minded person could say with reasonable certainty that the war has ended. A new and better nation is growing legs. What's left is messy politics that likely will be punctuated by low-level violence and the occasional spectacular attack. Yet, the will of the Iraqi people has changed, and the Iraqi military has dramatically improved, so those spectacular attacks are diminishing along with the regular violence. Now it's time to rebuild the country, and create a pluralistic, stable and peaceful Iraq. That will be long, hard work. But by my estimation, the Iraq War is over. We won. Which means the Iraqi people won.
I’m reluctant to say “the war has ended,” as he did, but everything else he wrote is undoubtedly true. The war in Iraq is all but over right now, and it will be officially over if the current trends in violence continue their downward slide. That is a mathematical fact.
If you doubt it, look at the data.
Security incidents, or attacks, are at their lowest level in four years. Civilian deaths are down by almost 90 percent since General Petraeus’ counterinsurgency “surge” strategy went into effect. High profile attacks, or explosions, are down by 80 percent in the same time period. American and Iraqi soldiers suffer far fewer casualties than they have for years. Ethno-sectarian deaths from Iraq’s civil war plunged all the way down to zero in May and June 2008.
Yon is braver than the rest of us for declaring the war over, but it’s important to understand that there are no final battles in counterinsurgencies and it’s impossible to pinpoint the exact dates when wars like this end. The anti-Iraqi insurgency – a war-within-a-war – really is effectively over. As long as another such war-within-a-war doesn’t break out, Yon will appear more perceptive than the rest of us in hindsight when the currently low levels of violence finally do taper off into relative insignificance.
Read the rest in COMMENTARY Magazine.

“The war in Bosnia will look like a tea party if Serbian nationalism runs wild in Kosovo.” U.S. Representative Eliot Engel
“The whole world is a vast Kosovo, an abominable blood-logged plain.” From Black Lamb and Gray Falcon by Rebecca West, 1941.
Strange country, Kosovo.
It’s European, but it isn’t Christian. It’s majority-Muslim, but it is not anti-American. Foreign soldiers are hailed as liberators and protectors rather than occupiers. Most Western countries recognize the majority-Muslim nation’s recent declaration of independence from Serbia, but not a single Arab country has done so – partly, perhaps, because Israelis as well as Americans are thought of as allies and friends. The United Nations is widely perceived as offensive, incompetent, corrupt, and deserving of banishment.
Ethnic Albanians – who make up 90 percent of Kosovo’s population – suffered apartheid-like conditions and ethnic-cleansing by Serbian Nationalists in the 1990s. They were history’s winners, though, in 1999 when NATO finally had enough of Belgrade’s tyrant Slobodan Milosevic. He and his Serb allies kicked off four wars in the former Yugoslavia, and the final war in Kosovo threatened to overwhelm and destabilize the rest of Southeastern Europe.
Albanians in both Kosovo and Albania proper are well aware that the United States led the international effort to stop the chronic violence in what remained of Yugoslavia, and they’re well aware that the United States led the international effort to roll back communism all over the world. History has been as hard for them in the last half-century as it has been for their Arab co-religionists, but in dramatically different ways, and with dramatically different results.
I spent several weeks among them shortly after their declaration of independence to investigate the world’s newest country. The attacks on September 11, 2001, and the Terror War that followed pushed Europe’s troubled Balkan Peninsula almost entirely off the media map. But Kosovo is a brand-new Muslim-majority nation forged in violence and war with the help of American soldiers. Most countries still have not recognized its independence. Like Israel and Taiwan, its very right to exist is on trial. It deserves more attention than it has been getting.
Read the rest at MichaelTotten.com
Not sure how much blog bandwidth I'll have...
...in the meantime head to your local newspaper and ask them why they don't have Stephen Pastis' great strip 'Pearls Before Swine' Why?
Commenter (and now blogger) Chris H made two v. substantive points in our discussion of patriotism - one conceptual one on his blog, and one historic one in a comment here. While I don't agree, they're both good, tough challenges to the position I'm trying to take and as such I felt they were worth addressing in a post - probably a longer one than I have time for here, but at least this will serve as a kicking off place.
Bayou Renaissance Man has a neat series of articles up on selecting a weapon for home defense (he like a youth 20-ga pump shotgun - which we happen to coincidentally own one of). Go check them out.
The Danger Of relying On 911
Part 1
Part 2
Part 3
Reader Questions on Firearms & Recoil
Before you head to the gun store, however, let me encourage you to read two things of mine on how to decide whether you should buy a gun or not.
'Are you 'right' to own a gun?' in the Examiner, and 'I'm Buying A Gun' here.
As ought to be reasonable to assume given my pseudonym, I support widening the ability of law-abiding, noncriminal Americans (actually Britons and Canadians as well) to own and possess arms for both self-defense and recreation. I didn't write much about Heller, because as a non-lawyer there wasn't much I could usefully add to the dialog.
But post-Heller, we're seeing interesting regulatory and legal challenges to the prevailing "no-guns no-way" stance, and there are useful things that folks like us can do.
The National Parks Service has extended their comment period on a proposed rule change that would make bringing guns into national parks legal; that's a good idea on so many levels, I'm not sure where to begin - between predatory animals and predatory humans, and a thin-stretched population of park rangers I think it's highly responsible to be prepared to protect yourself and your family and friends.
James Bowman has penned a confused critique of Hollywood that nevertheless contains a large kernel of truth: Hollywood has largely quit portraying American heroism in its traditional fashion.
Every time I get shaky on my decision re Obama (and I have been this week), I read something that makes me take a deep breath and relax just a bit.
Via the always excellent normblog, here's Samantha Power (in Coventry just now because she was honest about Iraq and mean to Hillary - but a core Obama advisor nonetheless) with a smart suggestion about Zimbabwe:
One by one, those African and Western leaders who claim to be disgusted with Mugabe should announce that they bilaterally recognize the validity of the March 29 first-round election results, which showed the opposition winning 48% to 43%, though the margin was almost surely larger. The countries which do would make up the new "March 29 bloc" within the U.N. and would declare Morgan Tsvangirai the new President of Zimbabwe. They would then announce that Mugabe and the 130 leading cronies who have already been sanctioned by the West will not be permitted entry to their airports.Tsvangirai and his senior aides should do as South Africa's African National Congress did throughout the 1960s and '70s: set up a government-in-exile and appoint ambassadors abroad - including to the U.N. That ambassador should be given forums for rebutting the ludicrous claims of the Zimbabwean and South African regimes.
If "the U.N." is disaggregated into its component parts, Mugabe's friends will be exposed. "June 27" countries will be those who favor electoral theft, while "March 29" countries will be those who believe that the Zimbabweans aren't the only ones who should stand up and be counted. This can be a recipe for gridlock in international institutions - but the gridlock won't get broken by lamenting its existence.
Norm (who I believe was born in Rhodesia/Zimbabwe) continues, contrasting her approach with a far softer one via The Nation - and it's worth reading.
This month we've had experience with incredibly good and incredibly bad customer service, and the experiences were so wildly contradictory that I had to write something up.
Some baggage handler stole my old Spyderco Delicia from the outside pocket of my suitcase on one of my trips. I finally got around to replacing it, went to Froogle (yes, Google Product Search) and found a low-price vendor.
(Written in 1977, yet applies on the Arab countries as if it was written yesterday - just put "religion" instead of "Marxism").
The disastrous defeat of June 1967 played a decisive role in forcing many intellectuals, Arabs in general and Egyptians in particular, to reexamine established concepts and to question their validity. The process did not take a sudden, dramatic turn but evolved gradually, in my case, for instance, over several years. It was helped along by the performance of the government propaganda machine in the days following the disaster. The pitiful attempts by the defeated regime to pass such a cataclysmic event off as no more than a setback, the loss of one battle in a long-term war, rang hollow in the ears of the Egyptian people. Their wounds ran too deep to be assuaged by the lying slogans launched by the regime just hours after news of the disaster broke. Among the more memorable was the use of the word "setback" to describe the complete destruction of the Egyptian army, while others, such as eliminating the results of the aggression and direct American-British aggression were equally unconvincing.
Wow, you've gotta just freaking love the arrogance of the media folks...
Patterico is involved in a 'Dust-Up' at the LA Times with Marc Cooper (two friends going at it in Big Media).
They were invited to do a radio show - Which Way LA? - which you ought to listen to as well.
Patrick linked to it on his blog, and got this comment (reproduced in whole):
If you are the "competition" that the LA Times now faces for the first time, as you so ignorantly stated on WWLA (Olney caught you on that), I guess the Times can relax. Anyone who thinks even the best bloggers (which would not describe you, I dare say) are any substitute for the salaried hard work, reporting, investigation and experience of newspaper journalists is just a fool. How much of the real news on the internet comes from bloggers? By the way, that’s a rhetorical question. I can't believe Olney had someone as naive as you on the show.Comment by Sean Mitchell - 7/8/2008 @ 7:45 pm
Sean Mitchell, amazingly, writes for the LA Times.
The GOP in California have relegated themselves into a morally pure irrelevance, and the Democrats - oh, my Democrats. the San Diego Union-Tribune editorializes:
State Senate President Don ['Pistol-Packin'] Perata sure is determined to go out on a low note.First, the termed-out Oakland Democrat launched and then scrapped a ludicrous attempt to recall a popular Republican incumbent, Sen. Jeff Denham of Merced. The only credible explanation for the effort? An investigation by the East Bay Express newspaper found that the recall allowed Perata to direct more than $280,000 in funds to his trusted consultant, his latest shifty campaign shenanigan in a career full of them.
Now Perata is once again confirming his reputation as the most fierce defender of a broken state government. Recently, he summoned representatives of various rich special interest to a meeting devoted to brainstorming on how to defeat a November ballot initiative that would reform redistricting of state legislative seats and create many competitive districts.
I am remiss - here's something I should have blogged about some time ago.
Captain Jason Lynn is running a marathon to raise funds for soldiers and their families. Captain Lynn is an Apache helicopter pilot currently on his second tour in Iraq. He is planning to run a marathon in Florida in December to raise funds for an organization called Hope For The Warriors. H4TW raises money to help wounded soldiers and the families of those killed in action.
I just sent over $20 and hope you'll do the same. Donate here.
...I used this title before for an Examiner column, but it's appropriate here as well.
Conservative heads are spinning (including Jonah Goldberg in the LAT, who calls it "slavery") over Obama's national service proposal. Personally, I don't think it goes far enough. No, I'm serious.
OK, I'll wait a moment for my conservative readers to get to their smelling salts.
Over at the Corner, Ramesh Ponnuru asks:
Are you maintaining that to be an American patriot you have to believe that the U.S. is superior to all other countries? I loved my mother not because I truly believed that she was in some objective sense "the greatest mother in the world"...although I think I may have gotten her a coffee mug to that effect...but because she was mine. Can't we love our country the same way?
Well, no, not really. here we step into the question of American Exceptionalism, in which people like me suggest that American patriotism is fundamentally of a different class than all other patriotisms, because (I repeat tiresomely) it is not founded on a place, nor on a heritage, but on a set of ideas, to which any may freely subscribe.
I'll suggest that there are two components to American patriotism - one much like any other, which involves 'purple mountains majesty' and great Americans who contributed to making the place what it is today - and other, wholly unique, which goes to the undeletable, permanent notion that we are none of us subjects, and instead all citizens. Other nations have reached for this, and contributed to our understanding of it. In the future, I trust that others will carry it forward from us.
But today, it is fundamentally ours and it ought to be that set of ideas that we all celebrate on the 4th and that we are all learning from every day.
John Quiggen has an interesting post up on network effects, the new economy, and social equality.
My gut tells me that he's wrong, but I can't immediately construct an argument to convince even myself of that. I am quite convinced that it's an interesting topic - meaning that the arguments pro and con will be enlightening and possibly important. Take a look and let me know what you see.
So in response to being overwhelmed We took a road trip over the last day or so - riding to Paso Robles, having a brilliant dinner there and riding home.
We stayed a great B & B (nameless at the owner's request - but email me and I'll tell you all about it), had a great dinner at Justin Winery, and had one hard leg up - riding the freeways to get to Paso after work on Thursday - and then a brilliant ride back on back roads.
In a more thoughtful followup (not hard!) to his earlier paean to Mother England, Yglesias goes on to say one sensible thing about patriotism:
American liberals and American conservatives are both Americans so our American patriotism is very similar. We just have different ideas about politics.
He then drives directly off the rails.
The brain, they have found, appears to make up its mind 10 seconds before we become conscious of a decision -- an eternity at the speed of thought.That cannot be the whole truth, obviously. Clearly some decisions are not made this way, because some have to be made in far less than ten seconds -- turning the wheel of the car to avoid an accident, for example. We would normally say that these choices are the least likely to be products of free will, because there is not time for deliberation beforehand.Their findings challenge conventional notions of choice.
"We think our decisions are conscious," said neuroscientist John-Dylan Haynes at the Bernstein Center for Computational Neuroscience in Berlin, who is pioneering this research. "But these data show that consciousness is just the tip of the iceberg. This doesn't rule out free will, but it does make it implausible."
In the extended entry, I will sketch a response drawing on Aristotle's Nicomachean Ethics that shows how free will is in fact responsible for those decisions -- and must therefore be preserved in the "ten second problem" also. It may not be quite what we thought it was, but free will is not implausible.
The last time I called him on it, he explained that he was simply arguing a counterfactual...but he keeps coming back to it and picks July 4th for this marvelous sentiment:
Ultimately, I think the United States is a pretty awesome country but it very plausibly would have been even awesomer had English and American political leaders in the late 18th century been farsighted enough to find compromises that would have held the empire together.
Way to be patriotic, Matthew!!
The world is kicking my butt this week, so abject apologies for not participating in a bunch of interesting discussions here and out in the blogs in general.
A few things I'd be blogging about if I can get some time:
Should you invest in the long tail? - very interesting, and read Anderson's reply.
The far-right's patriotism problem - not so much, but it's a nice trigger to talk again about '68ers and patriotism
Moving to the middle is for losers - again, not so much but a good hook to use to discuss real centrism and whether Obama qualifies as such
Blogs, Participation and Polarization - a fascinating study