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March 23, 2008

Cod Down, Tuna to Go?

by Joe Katzman at March 23, 2008 12:18 AM

If you're a Canadian, the utter demise of the Atlantic Cod fishery within the last decade stands out as an exemplary case of politically-driven mismanagement to buy votes, and government-driven economic failure. The warnings were abundant, consistent, and ignored. Now a species that was once present in numbers so vast as to defy description is now rare, and shows few signs of any sort of comeback. To put some quickie numbers beside that, the cod fishery was worth $1.4 billion in 1968 when it was already past its heyday. It was worth just $10 million in 2004.

Scientists are beginning to sound the same warnings about Bluefin and Yellowfin Tuna, which are valued for their sushi-grade meat.

If you've ever seen these fish up close, they are seriously big, seriously wide, and seriously fast. Having one headed toward you is kind of like facing a linebacker rush.

In the Atlantic, however, the Bluefins suffered a huge population shock from 1900-1950 that coincided with industrialized fishing. Now scientists are looking at their migration patterns, and discovering that the conservative American approach to management (2,500 ton quota) is useless because the tuna's migration patterns take them into European waters (50,000 ton quota). Research is ongoing in the Pacific as well, via projects like the Stanford/Monterey Bay Aquarium Tuna Research project, TOPP (Tagging Of Pacific Predators), et. al. A recent New Scientist article adds that the situation is slipping fast for one of the most valuable fisheries on earth:

"In 2001, the western and central Pacific Ocean yellowfin tuna fishing industry was worth $1.9 billion. By 2004, its value had dropped by more than 40% to $1.1 billion. According to Barbara Block of Stanford University in California, US, Atlantic bluefin tuna populations have declined by as much as 90% since the 1970s and Mediterranean bluefin by about 50%. In both cases, the rate of decline has accelerated in recent years...."

Rating programs like Seafood Watch are spreading, and can make a difference in your local grocery store and on your home table. That's certainly a start.

A lot of environmental concern gets focused on the land, but in many ways, that situation is far better than it was even 3 or 4 decades ago. The same cannot be said about our oceans, which are in steadily declining shape. As Canada learned the hard way, the ocean's capacity is vast, but vast is not infinte. Unless we start getting smarter about that fact, it will bite us as a species in some very unpleasant ways. And it will begin doing so as a near to medium term issue, not a long-term one.


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Comments
#1 from Bart Hall (Kansas, USA) at 12:25 am on Mar 23, 2008

The Europeans were the primary cause of the collapse of the cod fishery. Spain and Portugal in particular.

I should amend that statement. The Trudeau government's refusal to enforce Canadian economic sovereignty against egregious violations by Spain and Portugal's aggressive over-fishing of Canadian stocks ... led to the collapse.

All it would have taken is a couple of frigates and a willingness to board (and seize) the offenders. Trudeau and his allies were so astoundingly anti-military they would not do even that much.

Interesting to see the Europeans popping up again in the tuna question.

#2 from Joe Katzman at 3:54 am on Mar 23, 2008

Spain and Portugal were partly to blame. But not wholly. Canadian limits were also consistently set at levels above - often well above - scientists' advice. Scientists who persisted and went public with their warnings were dismissed.

The fisherman wanted higher catch limits, and politicians obliged by buying votes with that. There was also no system to encourage people to value a fishing license long term, or seek alternative work on their own terms. Iceland's system, for example, has always been far saner economically - and in conservation terms.

Now, of course, the Canadian cod industry is completely decimated, and lots of people are collecting UI. One more example of "political management" being right up there alongside "jumbo shrimp" et. al.

#3 from Gringo at 4:59 am on Mar 23, 2008

A classic example, unfortunately, of Garret Hardin’s masterpiece, The Tragedy of the Commons.

#4 from chuck at 6:25 am on Mar 23, 2008

EU Referendum has written several articles about the disastrous EU fisheries management. From what I can make out it isn't going to improve anytime soon.

#5 from Fletcher Christian at 1:53 pm on Mar 23, 2008

There is also another problem that rears its ugly head when talking about this problem, at least in relation to European waters.

The EU has chosen, in its infinite wisdom, to regulate fishing by setting quotas for tonnage of fish landed. (There are also regulations about mesh sizes of nets, but they are extremely poorly enforced.) This means that bycatch fish (those caught by accident while you are trying to catch another type) are thrown back into the sea - dead of course.

Also of course, the dead fish benefit nobody except possibly scavengers. The fishermen don't get to sell the fish, the customers on land don't get to buy and eat the fish and the fish don't get to live and breed.

Solution? Simple. Regulate by setting limits on days at sea. Too simple, that, though - not enough justification for hiring more bureaucrats. Pournelle's Iron Law of Bureaucracy at work - again.

Incidentally, the Spanish and Portuguese are the culprits in British waters as well.

#6 from andrewdb at 9:34 pm on Mar 24, 2008

I sat nest to a Federal Mariner on a plane flight a couple of years back. He commented on the drastic and noticable loss of sea life during his career at sea. It is not just the Cod and Tuna.

#7 from Ian Coull at 11:27 pm on Mar 24, 2008

It amuses me when people dismiss 'environmental' concerns as somehow separate from their own personal welfare. The concept of environment is completely species-centric, and we might be well advised to use the fully qualified term 'human environment'; to bring home the relevance to those who don't quite get the connection. There were two separate government agencies in the system I once worked in, a 'Dept. of the Environment' and a 'Dept. of Health'. They may as well have been one for the degree of overlap between the issues that pertained. Polluted air and/or water, the overuse of fisheries, this crazy notion of global warming, ... surely the effects will be limited to those damn tree huggers.

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