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On Engaging Syria

| 4 Comments

 Tony Badran's new piece in Foreign Policy "Don't Let Damascus Out of the Doghouse" discusses the challenges the US faces with engaging Syria.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton sent envoys to Damascus, which suggests the possibility that the relationship between the US and Syria could change from the Bush Administration policy of isolation.  However, Secretary Clinton is going about redefining America's relationship with the Assad regime with caution.  Badran notes, 

in [Secretary Clinton's] stop in Jerusalem, she told reporters that Washington would "not engage in discussions for the sake of having conversation. There has to be a purpose to them; there has to be a perceived benefit for the U.S."

Critics of the policy of isolating Syria have often made "engagement" seem like an end in itself, but through her careful remarks, Clinton clarified that engagement should be based on a clear understanding that talks are but a tool to an end. This is a welcome development. The Assad regime is notorious for dragging out processes and offering no meaningful concessions while extracting unilateral ones.

Previous American efforts to engage Syria and build a consensus of peace in the Middle East have been spurned by the Syrians, although the Syrians accepted all of the gifts the US presented.  More recently, French President Nicolas Sarkozy re-opened relations with the Syrians on the understanding that the regime would make a few modest concessions, but the regime has yet to make them while continuing to ask for more concessions from the French.  

Badran recommends "meaningful engagement," not meaningless negotiations in which the US makes offers for Syria to spurn, which the US makes only to placate domestic audiences and international observers unaccountable for the results of failed engagement.  The US must actually negotiate, which means fully understanding Syria's power and relevance in the Middle East:

Meaningful engagement requires a proper understanding of the limited nature of Syria's relevance, assets, and what it really has to offer. By any measure, Syria is at best a secondary regional actor. Syria has no real economy to speak of. Its minuscule oil reserves, which are the regime's main lifeline, are dwindling, and the country has already become a net importer of oil. Its conventional military power is modest. Its only ability to project any influence has been through its sponsorship of militancy and violence and its ties to Iran, without which it would be relegated to the status of a marginal backwater. The regime's legitimacy hinges on radical narratives of "resistance and rejectionism" toward the United States and Israel. But the gap between the Syrians' actual importance and their self-image and sense of entitlement is vast.

What Washington wants from Syria is not help, but an end to misbehavior. The State Department has rightly defined U.S. policy objectives by making public a list of issues on which the United States seeks tangible Syrian behavioral change: support for terrorism, clandestine nuclear programs, subversion in Lebanon, and human rights at home.

We will see what these negotiations yield.  Unfortunately, like Badran, I do not see these negotiations leading to anything fruitful.  

4 Comments

Sell out Poland and Czech. Grovel to the Russians. Insult the Brits. Ignore India. Why not empower Syria?

Thank god for our new era of 'smart diplomacy'. What the next act, nuke The Vatican?

Oh, you just can't make this stuff up:

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton opened her first extended talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov by giving him a present meant to symbolize the Obama administration’s vow to “press the reset button” on U.S.-Russia relations.

She handed a palm-sized box wrapped with a bow. Lavrov opened it and pulled out the gift: a red button on a black base with a Russian word peregruzka printed on top.

“We worked hard to get the right Russian word. Do you think we got it?” Clinton asked.

“You got it wrong,” Lavrov said.

Instead of “reset,” Lavrov said the word on the box meant “overcharge.”

Honestly, this is the best that we've got? Aside from the humor of flubbing the translation, a reset button? What the *&^$ do you think Vlad Putin has to be thinking about the nimrod that offered him a freaking button as a gesture? Nobody has laughed this hard since Hitler heard Chamberlain was coming to reel him in.

And people thought Bush was amateurish and dopey? A RESET BUTTON?

A RESET BUTTON?
NO! NO! NO! ... It was an Easy Button
What Washington wants from Syria is not help, but an end to misbehavior.

What Syria wants is a bunch of dumbasses in Washington who will bully Israel on the theory that this will make the whole ME problem go away. You got to admit, that Allah really answers prayers.

a red button on a black base with a Russian word peregruzka printed on top.

They gave the Russians a thing with a big red button on it. That's so cute. If Hitler were alive, they'd give him a framed map of Poland.

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