Winds of Change.NET: Liberty. Discovery. Humanity. Victory.

Formal Affiliations
  • Anti-Idiotarian Manifesto
  • Euston Democratic Progressive Manifesto
  • Real Democracy for Iran!
  • Support Denamrk
  • Million Voices for Darfur
  • milblogs
Syndication
 Subscribe in a reader

SARS: Losing the 'Mandate of Heaven'

| 9 Comments

In China, there is a term for the people's loss of confidence in a dynasty. They refer to is as "Losing the Mandate of Heaven." This was normally associated with natural disaster or war hammering corrupt dynasties. SARS seems to be bidding fair to do that to the Communists in China. The Chinese are used to their government lying to them. They are not used to the government killing them through unsafe medical practices and plagues.

This is from the Asian Times (Hat tip to Conrad over at the Gweilo Diaries):

"The histories of both HIV and SARS in China have one striking shared characteristic - Beijing's knee-jerk suppression of all relevant information out of fear of damaging China's economic growth. In the face of AIDS and now SARS, the Chinese government has spared no effort to suppress information regarding either illness. In both cases, the Chinese population is paying the price. The Chinese government said that by 2003 there would be a million cases of HIV on the mainland, roughly the same number of infections as in the United States. While a million infections in a population of 1.3 billion is only 0.08 percent of the population, it is still a disturbingly large number of people in a country whose government, even after Annan's visit, has made next to no efforts to inform its people about the virus. Last summer a UN report warned that if the Chinese government did not radically change its HIV policy, the number would reach 10 million by 2010.

HIV/AIDS, luckily for Beijing, has still been relatively easy to cover up, at least domestically. It appears that SARS is about to change things very quickly. As of Wednesday, Henan province - again, a poor province of more than 95 million - was referred to by Chinese state media as one of the provinces hit hardest by SARS, this despite having only officially reported two confirmed cases as of Wednesday. Henan is next to Shanxi province, which as Asia Times Online reported on location (SARS wreaks havoc in Shanxi province, April 18) has been suffering from its own SARS outbreak for weeks already. Just as China's links to the world have fueled the international spread of SARS, China's massive web of domestic air, rail, bus and boat links combined with the world's largest population indicate that SARS will soon be in every province, city, and town soon, if it isn't already.

Beijing has admitted to covering up SARS statistics in order to preserve the image of normalcy. This seriously hurts the CCP's credibility. When one considers the HIV cover-up in Henan, combined with Henan's location at the center of the Chinese transportation nexus, it is also quite plausible that Beijing was fudging its numbers when it said last summer that there would be a million HIV cases in China by the start of this year. This was the number given long before Beijing came clean about its SARS cover-up. It is obvious that the highest levels of government in China are not averse to lying to its constituency or the world in order to maintain an image as a safe, stable environment for foreign direct investment.

Assuming that SARS makes its way to every populated area of China, it is quite plausible that China's SARS deaths could experience a ferocious increase. SARS is an atypical pneumonia caused by a coronavirus. AIDS sufferers are particularly susceptible to pneumonias. Indeed, the most common serious infection among AIDS patients in the United States is a type of pneumonia called Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP), which is typically fatal if not identified and treated quickly. Identification requires a laboratory test of fluid or tissue from a patient's lungs. Unfortunately, most of the people with AIDS, in Henan in particular, do not have access to laboratories, nor the money to pay for tests and treatment.

Continued...

In places like Shanghai, it gets even worse as the local Chinese Communist Party is trying desperately to hide SARS from everyone. From the Asian edition of TIME magazine:

But is Shanghai really in the clear? Doctors in this city of 16 million have begun voicing doubts about the veracity of the government figures. Local medical staff also allege that World Health Organization experts, who are concluding a monitoring trip to Shanghai, are being shown what one doctor at the No. 6 People's Hospital describes as "a sanitized version of Shanghai's SARS problem." A doctor at the Shanghai Contagious Diseases Hospital told TIME that there are more than 30 suspected cases have been admitted to their hospital's facilities, nearly double the official suspected caseload for the whole city. He and other doctors also say that Shanghai's requirements for diagnosing SARS are much more stringent than elsewhere in the world and that if the standards used in, say, Hong Kong were applied in Shanghai, many of the suspected caseload would be shifted to confirmed cases.

At the Huashan Hospital in a leafy district of Shanghai, doctors and nurses confirmed there were seven suspected cases at their hospital, although the hospital's official press liaison says they currently have none. The patients are being kept in a makeshift isolation ward housed in a dilapidated building formerly used for hepatitis patients. Doctors and nurses were not wearing full isolation suits; many were simply wearing four or five simple surgical masks over each other. But on Wednesday, security guards waiting for possible WHO visitors were ushering foreigners to a fancy high-rise building nearby. On the 15th floor of this building, medical staff in isolation suits greeted visitors, while other staff conspicuously sprayed disinfectant around the ward. There were several newly made signs in English pointing out the "respiratory clinic" and other facilities. No such sprucing-up measures, however, had been taken at the makeshift ward where patients were actually being kept

and

Also on Wednesday, top Shanghai Communist Party officials met with local official media to discuss the city's SARS situation. The meeting was classified as "neibu," or internal, meaning that the information would not be disseminated to the public. Officials told the gathered media that Shanghai would not escape the SARS epidemic, despite previous public assurances to the contrary. The party cadres also said that the WHO had told them that the U.N. agency did not believe the government figures of only two confirmed cases. Large-scale events in the city were to be cancelled, and Shanghai's much-vaunted auto exhibition was closed early after rumors that SARS-positive patients had visited the show. The media were instructed to ramp up a SARS public education campaign, so city residents would know how to prevent the spread of the virus.

But party officials then cautioned that "Shanghai's SARS caseload was still a state secret," according to one journalist who attended the meeting. The state media was not to report any SARS statistics higher than the government-sanctioned figures, nor were Shanghai journalists allowed to interview any SARS patients or their families. "Readers are going to be very confused," complained the journalist. "On the one hand, we tell them there are almost no cases in Shanghai. On the other hand, we tell them that they must be very vigilant in avoiding the disease. But if Shanghai has barely any cases, why does the public need to be worried about SARS?"

The 800 pound gorilla in the living room for SARS is the impact of new diseases on the 'immune impaired.' This is something the American medical establishment was dragged kicking and screaming to face with the possibility of mass small pox vaccinations in the world of AIDS and large numbers of heart patient and transplant survivors. An example of this happened recently in Houston Texas when one of the Army Reservists called up for the war on terrorism died from a small pox vaccination. She has an undiagnosed case of lupus.

According to some of Tom Holsinger's columns on small pox here and here and here over on Strategypage.com, at any given time, upwards of 10% of the American population can be considered medically 'immune impaired.'

The problem for the 3rd world is that childhood malnutrition and pollution both permanently damage the immune system in both far greater numbers and as a percentage of the population than 1st worlders taking organ rejection suppression medicine and heart medication. So at any given time 3rd world populations may be a third or more "immune impaired." And these people will be concentrated in cities or near modern transportation with poor or non-existent public health and medical infrastructure.

Thanks to the collapse of the Soviet Union, and the spread of failed states world wide in the aftermath, Chinese diseases connected to modern transportation are going to hammer these 3rd world populations until China is quarantined.

The following is from an Indian web site, but it tracks well with the comments my earlier post on SARS attracted:

SARS is likely to have originated in China's teeming Canton (now Guangdong) province, where people live in close proximity to farm animals, and their consumption patterns (they tend to eat anything that walks, runs, swims or crawls) may have made it easier for some trans-species mutation to occur. I have observed first hand the lengths to which they go, and squeamish readers should probably skip the next two paragraphs.

In a night market in a Chinese city, I once watched with horrified fascination while a street vendor casually took a thin, harmless-looking rat snake out of a cage filled with a writhing mass of other snakes, and banged its head against a tabletop to stun it. He then attached its head to a clothesline with a large clothes peg. It hung like a thick rope, motionless, stunned.

Then the man took out a sharp knife, grasped the snake's tail, and sliced it vertically with a single, fluid motion. His assistant carefully caught the snake's blood in a glass as it writhed in its death throes, suddenly awakened. A bystander bought the glass of snake blood and drank it down neat. Another bought the snake's gall bladder or penis, I couldn't tell which. And soon enough, the rest of its body was chopped up for soup.

No wonder the Economist says, 'Southern China is a notorious crucible for infection,' noting that a major outbreak of avian influenza originated there in 1997. 'Though it is not certain where the great flu pandemic of 1918 started, many of the lesser flu epidemics that now appear every couple of years are known to originate in China. There are reasons for this: people living cheek by jowl, and in close proximity to pigs and poultry, animals from which this type of virus is thought to jump to humans.'

Totalitarian dictatorship's top priority is maintaining power, not taking care of the people. This applies to every level of the regime as power seekers lie to their bosses to make themselves look good.

There is no effective public health nor agricultural regulations to reduce disease in China because it has no power interests or party promotions attached to them and there are many cultural and monetary resistance land mines attached to disrupting established interests and hygiene habits.

This is where an institution like America's independent judiciary, which enforces product liability laws and fiduciary responsibility, comes in. All the laws and regulations that are needed to operate a modern society need an "or else" to get irresponsible actors and political interests to comply. The Chinese Communist Party has kind of, sort of, realized this, but would rather have ly advantageous corruption than an independent, rival, power center to the Communist Party.

Now it is too late. SARS is going through the Communist regime's lies like the U.S. Army's 3rd Infantry Division went through the Iraqi Special Republican Guard.

There will be a lot of dead Chinese and a ruined Mainland Chinese economy when this is through.

China will be branded the "Typhoid Mary Nation" and strict medical security procedures will be applied to people and goods moving in and out of China, including Hong Kong, in self-defense by the rest of the world.

UPDATE: See this article in the Washington Post re: some of the political shocks SARS is creating in China.

9 Comments

In the West we have the homsexual rights activists in the place of the Chinese communists and HIV in the place of SARS:

http://www.jewishworldreview.com/cols/horowitz061201.asp

--

Peter

That URL makes some very solid points. Saving lives need to be placed above politics during disease outbreaks - otherwise, SARS in China is showing us the painful consequences.

Had time-proven procedures been followed with AIDS, there would be a lot more gay mean walking around in the USA today. Certainly hundreds more. Maybe thousands more. One wonders exactly whom the "gay activists" in question have served? Other than themselves, of course.

Joe,

The Taiwanese papers are reporting that the mainland Chinese are considering nation-wide martial law to deal with the SARS epidemic.

I think the move would be wise at this point because the various local party cadres have been playing politics with the disease rather than doing their job to stop it.

The only Chinese national institution that can be trusted to do the job now seems to be the PLA.

Trent,

I doubt the PLA will be able to handle it either. Its leadership is just as corrupt as the CCP. And once the troops are stricken, the PLA will be powerless.

The death toll could reach into the millions, not just from the disease, but from the panic, the quackery, the hoarding of food/water/medicine. We may even see scenes not seen since the Black Death. Corpses left to rot in the street.

If the disease were just still restricted to Henan, I can see the PLA considering nuking the city to spare the rest of the country. Unfortunately, because of the cultural imperative not to lose face by admitting either bad news or weakness, it's now all over China.

I had dinner with a couple of doctors from Huashan hospital a couple of days ago---I now realize how dark and evil your souls are,esp. Trent Telenko!

a guy from shanghai

Samuel Tai,

I don't see anyone in the PLA nuking any Chinese city short of a full scale civil war, and that city would be Taipai.

I do see a period of martial law as a possibility if SARS breaks down Chinese societal cohesion enough.

There are numerous reports of what amount to regional blockades of people goods and services and riots by rural folks against SARS detention centers.

"from china" said:

>I had dinner with a couple of doctors from
>Huashan hospital a couple of days ago---

If you are going to bring that up. Tell us what they said.

From China:

You may want to see the article at this link:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A57610-2003Apr30.html

Nearly 10,000 Quarantined in SARS-Panicked Beijing
Reuters
Wednesday, April 30, 2003; 12:46 AM
By Juliana Liu and Amran Abocar

BEIJING/TORONTO (Reuters) - Beijing, acknowledging mass panic had hit the SARS-infected city, quarantined more residents on Wednesday, but Toronto was jubilant after a warning against travel to Canada's financial capital was lifted.

Nearly 10,000 people in the Chinese capital were under quarantine after the city confined residents of one building in the heart of the capital and another in a northern suburb, state media said.

(snip)

trent telenko

i dont want to help you fabricate stories, why didnt you just say that you are eager to see many many people die of SARS in China--i can read in your lines that you hope the number of death cases will be as, or much much bigger than, the number of unarmed iraqi people brutally slaughtered(so great, I see American people wildly happy today on TV today, celebrating the killing of enemies, whenBW Bush declared the end of the invasion), you can do endless unsypathetic and disgusting fabrication as you wish.

btw,i know the SARS statistics, and i got it from chiese websites

from china

Leave a comment

Here are some quick tips for adding simple Textile formatting to your comments, though you can also use proper HTML tags:

*This* puts text in bold.

_This_ puts text in italics.

bq. This "bq." at the beginning of a paragraph, flush with the left hand side and with a space after it, is the code to indent one paragraph of text as a block quote.

To add a live URL, "Text to display":http://windsofchange.net/ (no spaces between) will show up as Text to display. Always use this for links - otherwise you will screw up the columns on our main blog page.




Recent Comments
  • TM Lutas: Jobs' formula was simple enough. Passionately care about your users, read more
  • sabinesgreenp.myopenid.com: Just seeing the green community in action makes me confident read more
  • Glen Wishard: Jobs was on the losing end of competition many times, read more
  • Chris M: Thanks for the great post, Joe ... linked it on read more
  • Joe Katzman: Collect them all! Though the French would be upset about read more
  • Glen Wishard: Now all the Saudis need is a division's worth of read more
  • mark buehner: Its one thing to accept the Iranians as an ally read more
  • J Aguilar: Saudis were around here (Spain) a year ago trying the read more
  • Fred: Good point, brutality didn't work terribly well for the Russians read more
  • mark buehner: Certainly plausible but there are plenty of examples of that read more
  • Fred: They have no need to project power but have the read more
  • mark buehner: Good stuff here. The only caveat is that a nuclear read more
  • Ian C.: OK... Here's the problem. Perceived relevance. When it was 'Weapons read more
  • Marcus Vitruvius: Chris, If there were some way to do all these read more
  • Chris M: Marcus Vitruvius, I'm surprised by your comments. You're quite right, read more
The Winds Crew
Town Founder: Left-Hand Man: Other Winds Marshals
  • 'AMac', aka. Marshal Festus (AMac@...)
  • Robin "Straight Shooter" Burk
  • 'Cicero', aka. The Quiet Man (cicero@...)
  • David Blue (david.blue@...)
  • 'Lewy14', aka. Marshal Leroy (lewy14@...)
  • 'Nortius Maximus', aka. Big Tuna (nortius.maximus@...)
Other Regulars Semi-Active: Posting Affiliates Emeritus:
Winds Blogroll
Author Archives
Categories
Powered by Movable Type 4.23-en