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Where are we going?

| 4 Comments

I’m not entirely sure how objective I am about the following observations concerning the banality of evil or the utility of user forums, but I’m frankly less concerned about objectivity than complacency. That’s why I’m posting this long discombobulated draft, rather than just tipping another glass. To get to the point, some recent events have suggested that I may be taking much for granted when I assume that logic and rationality are either obvious or compelling to others. I’ve recently noticed what I take to be a significant degradation in the quality of a vital technical resource that I have been taking for granted: “user groups.” Over the years I’ve placed heavy reliance on these technical user groups to give me clues about how to maintain various equipment and software, from bicycles to automobiles and operating systems. But in the past year or two I’ve begun to notice that they’ve become significantly “dumber” than I thought they ought to be. At least that’s the way it seems. And I’m pretty sure that the perception isn’t a result of the fact that I’m becoming smarter, though that would be attractive.

Let me expand a bit. I purchased a mobile phone recently, and had a number of problems. No big deal, but as usual I turned to user groups to provide some answers and insights. I was rather astonished to find that not only were my questions usually left unanswered for days, or weeks, but that there were often a large number of similar queries that also had been ignored... for months or years in some cases. For instance, there are a lot of people wondering how one can determine the model of phone one possesses, so that one would know what kinds of features to expect, either before or after purchase. Whether a model allows memory expansion is important technical information, but the ability to discover which model you own is something I figured a user group would find “elementary.” Well, pardon my naivete’. There were almost no coherent answers to such simple questions. For example, one of the more coherent responses was “Which model does it look like?” My assumption that there must be some objective procedure to identify model, and that this would be a rather simple matter for user groups, was misguided. It turned out that not only are most users ignorant about how to determine what model they own, but there aren’t enough knowledgeable users to inform the ignorant. I found this situation sufficiently “odd” that it required some sort of theory. I have several, including the possibility that people are just tired of providing expertise for which they aren’t compensated, or the possibility that systems have become so complex that most users no longer understand them. But those are just theories.

To take another example, I’ve had a number of significant problems with equipment more costly than a mobile phone. My MacBook recently started shutting down. I’d be typing away on some project and would suddenly get a dialog box asking me if I really wanted the system shut down? Well, I obviously had expressed no such desire, but unless I could click “cancel” within the blink of an eye the system would just drop dead as a doornail. No recovery, and apparently the system didn’t even know that it had shut down. Everything was just... gone. No memory, like a nightmarish version of Momento. In fact, it happened while I was typing this description a few minutes ago, and I had to restart everything from memory. So I’m saving everything I type from now on, obsessively. If I type a semicolon, I save it.

I figured the place to go for some insight about this problem might be the Mac user discussion forum, maintained by the manufacturer. So I went there and as a first approximation conducted a search to see if someone had already discussed the problem. Apparently MacBooks have been shutting down unexpectedly for awhile, but Apple claimed to have resolved the problem by issuing a firmware update. The problem was, my firmware is up to date... so I wondered if anyone had discussed the problem more extensively. Strangely, the threads related to the problem didn’t have much discussion, and no answers other than the firmware thing, so I started my own thread... and waited for a response... and waited... and waited... and waited... which struck me as odd, at least relative to my past experience of user groups. As a general rule they’re very prompt and helpful, even when they don’t have immediate answers.

So I expressed a little consternation about the lack of response to my query, and the absence of depth in previous discussions of similar problems. Shortly thereafter some user suggested that perhaps no one had responded because no one had any ideas about how to solve my problem, which I allowed was unfortunately the case. But my prior experience of user groups suggested that a specialized “solution” wasn’t necessarily a bar to analysis. So why the lack of response?

It’s irritating to have a computer system that one relies upon just go blank without any warning, but it’s even worse when no one in the user group expresses the slightest interest in such behavior. After awhile I drafted what I thought was a fairly literate post about how the user forum wasn’t much help to me, although I admitted that I didn’t really have any explanations for the reticence. But apparently the user group found my suggestion that they hadn’t been enormously helpful so offensive that my post was deleted as a “non-technical rant.” I began to suspect that there might have been other “non-technical rants” on the topic that had just disappeared into the vapors. But I wasn’t really ranting. I just found the inadequacy of responses odd. On the other hand, the unwillingness to even allow such inadequacies to be discussed was a little more... troubling. I could understand how there might be a lot of questions short of answers in such a system.

The experience suggested that there might be a conflict of “values,” that places “feelings” above logic and coherence. Now, this was a really radical theory, and perhaps it’s based on a rather unjustified generalization, but I’m just reporting my own experience here. Maybe my experience is idiosyncratic, but it seems to me that user groups like the Mac discussion group could have became “Marcusean free speech zones,” and that the suppression of any uncomfortable observations might be creating knowledge gaps. Have the values taught in our universities for the past 40 years or so, since Lipset and Ladd’s epic studies for the Carnegie Foundation in the 1970s, and documented by watchdog groups like FIRE (Foundation for Individual Rights and Freedom, begun to impact the “nuts and bolts” of the the society? Might we be in danger of losing the ability to reliably find the thread size for a bolt, if the quest offends someone?

Mark Bauerlein wrote a book recently that goes to the heart of this unwillingness to tolerate offense, with the profoundly challenging title: The Dumbest Generation. He suggests that the “digital age” is making young Americans stupid, by placing social considerations above values of logic and coherence. The subtitle of Bauerline’s book is: “How the Digital Age Stupefies Young Americans and Jeopardizes Our Future (Or, Don't Trust Anyone Under 30).” This is not a new debate, but it may be reaching an unprecedented level of urgency. Mortimer Adler suggested in an essay entitled “This Postwar Generation” (referencing the generation born after World War I) that knowledge is, itself, a virtue... and that Bertrand Russell’s ridicule of such a virtue, in defense of a sentimental preference, was indefensible. Russell’s response was so incoherent, even in his own ears, that he simply took his seat...

The quality of information is becoming subordinate to the intent associated with its expression. For instance, there’s a notion being propagated in universities that gender parity in the sciences is more important than science itself. Such sentiments suggest that information content is not merely becoming subordinate to intent... it’s in the process of replacing coherence with intent.

Again, I realize this is a radical indictment. But it’s profoundly demoralizing to consider that significant swaths of the US population seem to think it’s fair to lob missiles into a civilian neighborhood in a neighboring country, and that it would be patently unfair for the country on the receiving end of the launches to use sufficient military force to ensure such an onslaught won’t be an ongoing “fact of life.” Even Harry Reid, bless him, seems to think this might be beyond the pale.

To be honest, I would prefer to think that the two realms are unrelated--that the quality of technical user forums is unrelated to the quality of political judgment, but I’m beginning to suspect that such optimism is a little unrealistic. It might be wishful thinking.

Now, for a slight time warp:

Almost 150 years ago my ancestors were living a troubled existence in northwestern Arkansas. Their neighbors apparently considered it tolerable that they be conscripted into the Confederate Army at the point of a gun, in order to defend the right of the Confederacy to institutionalize chattel slavery. In late 1862 two of four brothers in my family who’d been conscripted by force into Confederate units were seriously wounded in a battle against Union forces (probably at Prairie Grove), and were listed in company rolls as has having “died at home.” My grandfather always thought they had deserted and had been tracked down and killed by the conscriptors in reprisal for their unwillingness to serve the cause. However they were not listed on company rosters as deserters, so they may have simply been mortally wounded and sent home to die. (Perhaps someone knows whether Confederate units did such things routinely during this period, but it seems likely to me.) Around the same time several pubescent members of my family were also killed by marauders, so my grandfather’s conjecture may have had merit. At any rate, in late 1863 an assemblyman complained to the Governor of Arkansas, Isaac Murphy (a Confederate sympathizer), that these several counties in northwestern Arkansas (Washington and Sebastian) had been “virtually de-populated” in reprisal for their support of the Union. Shortly thereafter the third brother in my family deserted the 35th Arkansas Confederate Infantry, and re-enlisted in the Union 1st Arkansas. The fourth brother, my great great grandfather, deserted the 35th Arkansas and remained in hiding until the end of the war. At the time, his wife was pregnant with my great grandfather, which may be why he didn’t re-enlist for the Union. (She gave birth about two months later.)

Now, I’m aware that finding a connection between current events and the chaos of the Civil War in northwestern Arkansas 150 years ago is a slender thread. But again, I’m more worried about the consequences of not taking that relationship seriously, than of over-emphasis. One might have thought that the issue of slavery was rather straightforward. It certainly doesn’t seem controversial now, but apparently there were large swaths of the population who thought that one had a right to enslave another as a matter of state sovereignty; and that the defense of such a “principle” not only justified forced conscription but the execution of those who disagreed. The majority of my forebears, at least in that branch of the family, did not survive that “disagreement.” I like to think their objections were based on principle rather than sentiment, but they were certainly stumbling in a principled direction... and I sometimes wonder about the fate of Palestinians who might be stumbling toward a principled disagreement with Hamas and Hizbollah over the fate of Israel. How will their sentiments make their way into the public record, if their expression is considered heresy? What sort of world does this create?

4 Comments

Demosophist, I fear you are right.
I am an Electronic Engineer for a small company making a niche product in Australia.
We have recently added several new workshop technician-types, in their early 20's. Now, in electronics, you're generally either right or wrong -- at least at the production end. These new guys cope fine with that -- simply because if the do the procedure wrong, the value comes out wrong, and the board fails the test.

However

During the Monday morning-tea time chin-wag/shoot-the-breeze/cr@p-on-about-anything discussion, I find myself increasingly on the side of the "older" members (the company founder, foundation employees) all in their mid 50's. God! I'm only 43 -- I don't feel old!

But it's during these discussions that the cultural fault-lines emerge. I (and my older collegues) talk about "facts" and what could be called "value-free knowledge". We accept that one can arrive at a vastly different conclusion about complex issues, after the considered evaluation of these facts -- life is complex, and there are often no simple answers -- but never-the-less we agree on basic "facts" (even the un-reconstructed 50yo hippie software engineer).
At this point I sense the young-un's eyes glazing over. They just say "but I don't like that. Its wrong"

"But why?" we oldies say.

"It just feels wrong..."

Actually I exaggerate a bit, but I really agree that the new emphasis on "feelings" versus "thinking" is leading to a generation incapable of true rational thinking.

I generally don't use user groups for a specific vendor anymore... I generally just google the problem I have until I find a tech group that's also dealing with the problem. If it's slightly different, I just make a new post there. Usually, people at unofficial user groups are there because they're nice (and like finding solutions to things) and are much quicker than people paid to do it.

I figure, when I see billboards that are grossly misspelled the end of civilization will be near.

Absolut vodka gave me quite a scare.

alchemist: I couldn't find any useful user groups about mobile phone issues, and just figured that the market is so complex that it doesn't give users an opportunity learn by doing. Models change very quickly (probably by design) which keeps customers in a constant state of confusion, and that probably helps resellers. It's another odd situation, but I suspect they're killing the geese that are laying all the eggs.

Probably many variables at work here. One of Bauerlein's theses is that this generation devotes so much time to social pursuits that they haven't time to learn anything, but my generation also spent a lot of time in pointless social pursuits at that age and were pretty bone-headed about practical matters. Adler was complaining about the generation that grew up between the World Wars. But the thing that's different now is that there's a new Marcusean cult in institutions of higher education, and an administrative battle over who will end up in control. (Note the strategy at Dartmouth to water down the influence of alumni so that the multiculti administrators could keep the lid on.)

And these "modes of thought" have worked their way down to the secondary and elementary levels. The worst of this movement are the speech codes, whether explicit or implicit, which are heavily biased in the direction of the multicultural jargon. But having said that, the generation we're talking about is the same generation (for the most part) that's doing the fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan. Those people will eventually return, and reincorporate into the culture, changing it in profound ways for the better. So I'm actually pretty hopeful in the long run. I just get worn out by the constant uphill moshing.

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